 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $5.3K | 34¢ | 67¢ | +$5.3K |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Politics | No | $4.8K | 58¢ | 76¢ | +$1.4K |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $7.2K | 19¢ | 13¢ | -$2.2K |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $4.9K | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$56 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $3.6K | 64¢ | 79¢ | +$783 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $3.3K | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$110 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3.1K | 55¢ | 59¢ | +$223 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $2.9K | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$223 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.9K | 22¢ | 30¢ | +$698 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Politics | No | $2.2K | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$80 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Politics | No | $2.3K | 38¢ | 33¢ | -$349 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $1.7K | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$190 |
 Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $1.8K | 5.7¢ | 6.0¢ | +$93 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $1.7K | 49¢ | 53¢ | +$139 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1.6K | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$222 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 48¢ | 60¢ | +$330 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $2.4K | 65¢ | 48¢ | -$619 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | Yes | $3.3K | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1.6K |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $1.5K | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$55 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $1.4K | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$185 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $1.1K | 45¢ | 62¢ | +$390 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $1.4K | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$34 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 42¢ | 34¢ | -$330 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $1.2K | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $727 | 14¢ | 23¢ | +$472 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | Yes | $975 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$188 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 28¢ | 22¢ | -$326 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $1.2K | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$110 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?Politics | No | $1.0K | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$25 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $841 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$90 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | No | $995 | 80¢ | 75¢ | -$67 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $743 | 19¢ | 22¢ | +$124 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $745 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$29 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Tech | No | $606 | 33¢ | 40¢ | +$125 |
| Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $488 | 37¢ | 54¢ | +$226 |
 Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?Politics | No | $743 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$119 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $637 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$18 |
| Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?Politics | No | $596 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$15 |
 Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $480 | 34¢ | 42¢ | +$105 |
 Will FDP be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Politics | No | $567 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $466 | 23¢ | 28¢ | +$100 |
| Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $311 | 44¢ | 69¢ | +$169 |
| Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $495 | 52¢ | 45¢ | -$71 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $1.0K | 20¢ | 8.0¢ | -$620 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Finance | No | $130 | 32¢ | 94¢ | +$249 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $359 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$17 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $369 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $210 | 42¢ | 73¢ | +$155 |
 Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $318 | 41¢ | 47¢ | +$46 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $376 | 42¢ | 41¢ | -$11 |
| Berlin State Election: CDU Over/Under 20%?Politics | Under | $270 | 52¢ | 70¢ | +$91 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $350 | 70¢ | 70¢ | -$3 |
| Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $353 | 32¢ | 28¢ | -$39 |
| Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $264 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$36 |
| Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Politics | Yes | $242 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$49 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $187 | 37¢ | 55¢ | +$91 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $492 | 26¢ | 14¢ | -$218 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $370 | 37¢ | 27¢ | -$105 |
| Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $154 | 42¢ | 72¢ | +$108 |
| Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $142 | 46¢ | 81¢ | +$108 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on September 11, 2026?Politics | Yes | $208 | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$23 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $198 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$12 |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" in September?Mentions | Yes | $191 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$16 |
| Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $192 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$13 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $164 | 32¢ | 39¢ | +$33 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Politics | No | $284 | 6.5¢ | 4.3¢ | -$97 |
| Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Politics | No | $212 | 93¢ | 81¢ | -$26 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto | No | $100 | 50¢ | 92¢ | +$83 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | No | $156 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$21 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $107 | 36¢ | 59¢ | +$69 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $116 | 31¢ | 41¢ | +$35 |
 Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?Politics | No | $142 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $87 | 21¢ | 35¢ | +$56 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $231 | 77¢ | 46¢ | -$94 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | Yes | $260 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$130 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $193 | 10¢ | 6.8¢ | -$63 |
| Will CDU win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $107 | 40¢ | 47¢ | +$17 |
 Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 22¢ | 24¢ | +$8 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $104 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$12 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $305 | 45¢ | 17¢ | -$193 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $128 | 4.7¢ | 4.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will AfD win 36 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $104 | 93¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $105 | 49¢ | 48¢ | -$3 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 39¢ | 47¢ | +$15 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $73 | 73¢ | 82¢ | +$9 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $111 | 1.8¢ | 1.4¢ | -$29 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $87 | 87¢ | 73¢ | -$15 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $58 | 73¢ | 82¢ | +$7 |
 Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?Politics | Down | $140 | 14¢ | 6.5¢ | -$75 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $49 | 5.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$15 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $240 | 19¢ | 4.5¢ | -$183 |
 Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Tech | No | $59 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$3 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Tech | No | $55 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $74 | 3.7¢ | 2.8¢ | -$19 |
| Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $43 | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$1 |
| Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?Politics | No | $23 | 38¢ | 73¢ | +$21 |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $52 | 86¢ | 61¢ | -$15 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $32 | 1.0¢ | 1.1¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 6.1¢ | 11¢ | +$14 |
Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$516h ago