← Whale Watch

DerDon

Predicting since Feb 20253,437 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $8.3K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $12K across 4 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$6.5K21¢23¢+$910
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.5K95¢99¢+$274
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5.5K55¢68¢+$1.3K
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$7.2K43¢40¢-$565
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$5.0K71¢74¢+$153
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsNo$4.1K57¢67¢+$649
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?CultureNo$1.6K38¢100¢+$2.7K
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$3.2K54¢61¢+$410
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsNo$2.4K56¢79¢+$947
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K50¢99¢+$1.4K
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?CultureNo$1.4K55¢100¢+$1.2K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.5K85¢87¢+$59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.3K98¢98¢-$11
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$1.2K45¢84¢+$1.1K
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$1.9K96¢100¢+$74
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$1.8K73¢77¢+$79
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$1.6K5.3¢4.9¢-$145
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$1.8K8.7¢6.5¢-$450
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechNo$1.0K68¢81¢+$192
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?TechNo$99580¢86¢+$70
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechNo$84184¢94¢+$95
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsNo$56056¢94¢+$375
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?CultureNo$46853¢100¢+$411
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?PoliticsNo$68385¢68¢-$139
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$50592¢97¢+$27
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$45015¢14¢-$29
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsNo$41397¢99¢+$8
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$39943¢44¢+$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$35070¢71¢+$3
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$22450¢77¢+$121
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$32985¢86¢+$4
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyNo$37037¢33¢-$45
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$29318¢20¢+$29
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$25958¢61¢+$13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?TechNo$15821¢34¢+$94
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoNo$19890¢94¢+$10
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$18239¢41¢+$7
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoNo$10050¢89¢+$77
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsNo$30545¢26¢-$129
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$13552¢63¢+$27
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$11729¢39¢+$36
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$18439¢32¢-$34
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?TechNo$11770¢80¢+$16
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?EconomyNo$11254¢63¢+$19
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?TechNo$2212¢68¢+$103
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$23177¢42¢-$106
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$10946¢49¢+$8
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$9762¢75¢+$20
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$7839¢56¢+$35
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$7171¢100¢+$29
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$8544¢52¢+$14
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$7617¢19¢+$7
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?EconomyYes$18931¢13¢-$111
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$8787¢74¢-$14
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$6494¢100¢+$4
Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$3732¢48¢+$18
Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$282.2¢4.1¢+$24
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$6157¢45¢-$13
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$4324¢27¢+$4
Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsNo$4141¢44¢+$3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?CultureYes$52.4¢16¢+$28
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1715¢26¢+$12
Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$2356¢59¢+$1
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?MentionsNo$1322¢25¢+$2
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$1223¢26¢+$1
Ebola pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$1292¢96¢+$1
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsYes$1111¢11¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$872¢59¢-$2
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?CultureYes$4414¢1.9¢-$38
Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$510¢12¢+$1
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?MentionsYes$353¢76¢+$1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?CultureYes$3557.9¢0.1¢-$353
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$75.1¢1.7¢-$5
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$51.2¢0.4¢-$3
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?PoliticsYes$324¢14¢-$1
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?MentionsYes$11.0¢1.8¢+$1
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$14.3¢4.7¢+$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsNo$5566¢1.6¢-$53
Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video?MentionsNoResolved$4320¢0.0¢-$43
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouTube video?MentionsNoResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$8.3K
Culture+$4.0K
Tech+$1.9K
Mentions+$1.8K
Crypto+$1.4K
Economy+$1.2K
Champions League+$332
Other sports-$188
La Liga-$65
Weather+$57
Soccer (other)+$9
Premier League+$4
Biggest hit
+$679
Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.9% on May 2?
Toughest beat
-$422
India military action against Pakistan before June?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$19m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?$212m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?$217m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$118m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$330m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$137m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$137m ago
  • Bought No · Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?$139m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$141m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$149m ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$11h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$11h ago