← Whale Watch

thesandman

Predicting since Jul 2025968 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $24K on Crypto markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $877 riding on English Premier League Winner .

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBANo$37795¢100¢+$18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$29236¢41¢+$39
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$18472¢100¢+$71
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$18995¢100¢+$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$15477¢99¢+$45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15220¢23¢+$19
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other)No$15279¢81¢+$6
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Soccer (other)Yes$10250¢70¢+$41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$12080¢78¢-$4
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$12341¢38¢-$10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$7141¢44¢+$4
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?Soccer (other)Yes$4320¢25¢+$11
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$4894¢94¢-$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsNo$13836¢12¢-$94
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$3863¢63¢-$0
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?Soccer (other)No$3831¢30¢-$2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureNo$5932¢16¢-$30
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1954¢63¢+$3
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?PoliticsYes$459.8¢3.4¢-$30
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureYes$915¢15¢+$0
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?EconomyNo$2159¢26¢-$11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$311¢8.5¢-$1
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5NBAUnder 5.5Resolved$1734¢0.0¢-$17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechNoResolved$122.9¢0.0¢-$12
Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?NBAYesResolved$5390¢0.0¢-$53
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Premier LeagueNoResolved$87749¢0.0¢-$877
Will the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $582,000 on April 30?EconomyYesResolved$6925¢0.0¢-$69
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?PoliticsYesResolved$11719¢0.0¢-$117
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?PoliticsYesResolved$2531¢0.0¢-$25
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBANoResolved$5410¢0.0¢-$54
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?CryptoDownResolved$112.9¢0.0¢-$11
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$32693¢0.0¢-$326
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28?CryptoUpResolved$4951¢0.0¢-$49
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?NBANoResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?CryptoYesResolved$10515¢0.0¢-$105
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Premier LeagueYesResolved$036¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?CryptoUpResolved$25532¢0.0¢-$255
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?NBANoResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?CryptoUpResolved$13322¢0.0¢-$133
Weed rescheduled by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$256.8¢0.0¢-$25
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?CryptoNoResolved$17111¢0.0¢-$171
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$5318¢0.0¢-$53
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?CryptoDownResolved$5421¢0.0¢-$54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$4013¢0.0¢-$40
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 23?CryptoUpResolved$5151¢0.0¢-$51
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$287.0¢0.0¢-$28
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$126.0¢0.0¢-$12
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$10017¢0.0¢-$100
76ers vs. CelticsNBACelticsResolved$10264¢0.0¢-$102
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?PoliticsYesResolved$8435¢0.0¢-$84
Will the median home value in New York City be between $582,000 and $589,000 on April 30?EconomyYesResolved$27438¢0.0¢-$274
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?NBAYesResolved$6768¢0.0¢-$67
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4020¢0.0¢-$40
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?EconomyNoResolved$3743¢0.0¢-$37
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Total Games O/U 4.5NBAUnder 4.5Resolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?PoliticsYesResolved$1535¢0.0¢-$15
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$305.1¢0.0¢-$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2727¢0.0¢-$27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$50425¢0.0¢-$504
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?TechNoResolved$10673¢0.0¢-$106
Will the median home value in New York City be between $589,000 and $596,000 on April 30?EconomyYesResolved$7939¢0.0¢-$79
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$30017¢0.0¢-$300
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5NBAOverResolved$22345¢0.0¢-$223
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$43.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?PoliticsYesResolved$114.5¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 23?CryptoUpResolved$9714¢0.0¢-$97
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)NBACelticsResolved$26144¢0.0¢-$261
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$509.5¢0.0¢-$50

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$24K
NBA-$4.8K
Politics-$3.9K
Premier League-$993
eSports-$885
College Football+$877
NHL+$876
Economy-$773
Tennis-$692
Other+$623
World Cup+$610
Finance-$605
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?
Toughest beat
-$4.1K
Ethereum Up or Down on October 10?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?$4836m ago
  • Bought No · Will Rodri join Real Madrid?$71h ago
  • Bought No · Will Rodri join Real Madrid?$131h ago
  • Bought No · Will Rodri join Real Madrid?$202h ago
  • Bought No · Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?$399h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$611h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$40314h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$4216h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$5016h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$6016h ago
  • MERGE Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?$2016h ago
  • MERGE US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$5016h ago