Frosty2

Predicting since Feb 20262,710 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather	No	$6	91¢	97¢	+$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics	No	$5	56¢	53¢	-$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech	No	$4	77¢	82¢	+$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy	Yes	$1	39¢	97¢	+$1
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics	No	$3	83¢	65¢	-$1
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Culture	Yes	$1	25¢	59¢	+$1
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance	No	$2	85¢	93¢	+$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics	No	$10	84¢	17¢	-$8
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?Culture	No	$2	78¢	79¢	+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics	No	$2	84¢	84¢	-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$2	65¢	64¢	-$0
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Crypto	No	$2	72¢	65¢	-$0
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Culture	Yes	$3	68¢	38¢	-$1
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather	No	$2	62¢	53¢	-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics	No	$1	50¢	70¢	+$0
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?Politics	No	$1	11¢	27¢	+$1
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather	No	$5	69¢	18¢	-$4
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics	No	$1	77¢	96¢	+$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?Weather	Yes	$1	83¢	100¢	+$0
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Other sports	No	$1	58¢	68¢	+$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$1	85¢	96¢	+$0
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by 30–35%?Politics	No	$1	89¢	100¢	+$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Politics	No	$1	91¢	100¢	+$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$1	82¢	88¢	+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Finance	No	$1	86¢	92¢	+$0
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech	No	$1	90¢	96¢	+$0
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics	Yes	$1	61¢	65¢	+$0
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics	No	$1	82¢	87¢	+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics	No	$1	83¢	88¢	+$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics	No	$1	79¢	83¢	+$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 22?Weather	No	$1	89¢	93¢	+$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech	No	$1	82¢	85¢	+$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics	Yes	$1	17¢	18¢	+$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$1	46¢	47¢	+$0
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto	No	$1	63¢	65¢	+$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics	No	$1	68¢	70¢	+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$816

Weather-$33

Politics-$31

eSports+$10

Mentions-$7

Culture-$5

Basketball (other)-$4

Soccer (other)-$4

Tennis-$3

NBA+$3

La Liga-$2

Finance-$2

Biggest hit

+$61

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Toughest beat

-$51

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$18m ago
Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?$19m ago
Sold No · Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?$11h ago
Sold No · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$51h ago
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?$11h ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 21?$11h ago
Sold Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 22?$13h ago
Bought No · Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$25h ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 22?$16h ago
Bought No · Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$110h ago
Bought Yes · Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 22?$110h ago
Sold Yes · Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$611h ago