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TimoTao

Predicting since Mar 2026450 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$3936¢43¢+$8
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3771¢80¢+$4
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2577¢93¢+$5
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?PoliticsYes$2226¢21¢-$4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$1249¢71¢+$5
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?PoliticsYes$1912¢10¢-$3
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsYes$2711¢6.5¢-$11
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsYes$1539¢34¢-$2
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$1084¢95¢+$1
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$1086¢95¢+$1
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$653¢95¢+$5
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?PoliticsNo$928¢32¢+$1
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$1079¢71¢-$1
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$747¢56¢+$1
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?PoliticsNo$1075¢64¢-$1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$786¢100¢+$1
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$554¢80¢+$3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$789¢100¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$788¢97¢+$1
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?EconomyNo$675¢100¢+$2
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?PoliticsNo$624¢31¢+$2
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$790¢97¢+$1
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$571¢100¢+$2
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$791¢96¢+$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?EconomyNo$674¢92¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$785¢86¢+$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$680¢97¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$1915¢5.5¢-$12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$687¢100¢+$1
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$650¢56¢+$1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$546¢56¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$638¢43¢+$1
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$1122¢13¢-$5
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$686¢90¢+$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherNo$647¢45¢-$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$690¢90¢-$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$591¢99¢+$0
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$690¢88¢-$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?PoliticsNo$582¢99¢+$1
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$590¢88¢-$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$687¢72¢-$1
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$590¢93¢+$0
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?PoliticsYes$87.0¢4.0¢-$4
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$86.0¢3.4¢-$4
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$485¢87¢+$0
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoNo$681¢54¢-$2
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$484¢92¢+$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$99.0¢3.9¢-$5
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$677¢49¢-$2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$634¢21¢-$2
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$362¢76¢+$1
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$85.7¢2.4¢-$4
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$911¢3.6¢-$6
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$912¢3.9¢-$6
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$89.8¢3.6¢-$5
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?CryptoNo$669¢34¢-$3
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNo$642¢20¢-$3
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsYes$610¢4.8¢-$3
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$657¢24¢-$3
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$668¢25¢-$4
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$536¢17¢-$2
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$185¢99¢+$0
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$785¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$197
NHL+$39
Soccer (other)-$27
Tech-$27
NBA-$24
Politics-$21
Weather-$16
Culture-$11
Serie A-$9
World Cup-$8
La Liga-$8
eSports-$7
Biggest hit
+$140
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$68
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$113d ago