← Whale Watch

baybug

Predicting since Dec 20231,909 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.6K riding on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.6K81¢80¢-$34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$55880¢88¢+$54
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$51189¢94¢+$29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$54484¢79¢-$30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$40080¢87¢+$33
Iran leadership change by September 30?PoliticsNo$38890¢89¢-$8
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?PoliticsNo$34782¢89¢+$30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$35388¢86¢-$11
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$36260¢56¢-$23
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$21078¢93¢+$40
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$20984¢99¢+$37
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$20669¢81¢+$37
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$17183¢100¢+$34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$15276¢100¢+$48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$18894¢100¢+$11
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$22274¢64¢-$32
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$14874¢94¢+$40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$17487¢94¢+$13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$16884¢92¢+$15
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17085¢91¢+$11
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsNo$16080¢87¢+$13
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?CryptoNo$14271¢87¢+$31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$16060¢63¢+$7
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$18190¢83¢-$15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15586¢92¢+$10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$16583¢82¢-$1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?PoliticsNo$15276¢80¢+$7
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$16080¢77¢-$7
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$14472¢73¢+$1
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$14874¢71¢-$6
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$12160¢68¢+$14
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$13490¢87¢-$4
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?PoliticsNo$12885¢87¢+$2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$13762¢57¢-$11
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$13065¢63¢-$4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$11187¢95¢+$10
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$11490¢91¢+$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$10984¢84¢-$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$10788¢84¢-$5
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$9595¢97¢+$2
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$8195¢99¢+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$8040¢42¢+$4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$9090¢79¢-$12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$7878¢77¢-$2
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?WeatherNo$7878¢76¢-$3
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPoliticsNothing$6480¢82¢+$2
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?PoliticsNo$3952¢80¢+$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3949¢66¢+$13
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$5490¢87¢-$2
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$5484¢80¢-$3
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$4384¢96¢+$6
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?PoliticsYes$4684¢87¢+$2
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4488¢95¢+$3
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsNo$3965¢78¢+$8
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?PoliticsNo$4488¢91¢+$1
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$3978¢88¢+$5
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsNo$3876¢78¢+$1
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3978¢73¢-$3
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?NBANo$3290¢99¢+$3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$3286¢95¢+$3
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$3187¢96¢+$3
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsNo$3162¢67¢+$2
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?PoliticsNo$2974¢81¢+$3
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2789¢99¢+$3
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsNo$2685¢96¢+$4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2172¢92¢+$6
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1068¢87¢+$3
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1097¢99¢+$0
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$1093¢89¢-$0
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$788¢98¢+$1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?CryptoNo$677¢100¢+$2
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?PoliticsYes$567¢86¢+$1
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$268¢81¢+$0
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$250¢50¢-$0
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?WeatherNo$188¢92¢+$0
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$12060¢0.0¢-$120
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$1576¢0.0¢-$15
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10955¢0.0¢-$109
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$14558¢0.0¢-$145
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?PoliticsNoResolved$16354¢0.0¢-$163
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$854¢0.0¢-$8
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$4385¢0.0¢-$43
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?World CupNoResolved$5575¢0.0¢-$55

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Crypto+$398
World Cup-$328
Politics-$109
Mentions-$38
Other-$27
Tech-$26
NBA+$26
Weather+$24
Economy-$16
Culture-$10
eSports-$7
Other sports-$7
Biggest hit
+$73
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?
Toughest beat
-$110
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 11AM ET

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$18020m ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$391h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1653h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$195h ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$205h ago
  • Sold No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$9605h ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$139h ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$69h ago
  • Bought No · Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$12518h ago
  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$36020h ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel closes its airspace by July 24?$1501d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$992d ago