 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $400 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$12 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $305 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$18 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $223 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$15 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics | No | $155 | 89¢ | 98¢ | +$15 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $151 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$16 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?Economy | Yes | $137 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $132 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $117 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$9 |
 Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $95 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $63 | 36¢ | 54¢ | +$31 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $92 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $118 | 74¢ | 54¢ | -$32 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $72 | 80¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $64 | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?Economy | Yes | $79 | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $37 | 20¢ | 42¢ | +$40 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $28 | 34¢ | 89¢ | +$44 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $67 | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$3 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $61 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$8 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 59¢ | 66¢ | +$6 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?Economy | Yes | $70 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$13 |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $49 | 67¢ | 75¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $51 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?Economy | Yes | $50 | 36¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Finance | Yes | $57 | 75¢ | 63¢ | -$9 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?Tech | No | $49 | 99¢ | 95¢ | -$2 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $51 | 71¢ | 65¢ | -$5 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $43 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?Economy | Yes | $42 | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$2 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $53 | 26¢ | 22¢ | -$9 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Finance | Yes | $53 | 44¢ | 35¢ | -$12 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Tech | No | $34 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$7 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $63 | 26¢ | 17¢ | -$24 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $19 | 35¢ | 73¢ | +$20 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?Economy | Yes | $46 | 32¢ | 26¢ | -$9 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?Economy | Yes | $40 | 34¢ | 32¢ | -$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 58¢ | 33¢ | -$25 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $22 | 57¢ | 78¢ | +$8 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $17 | 59¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $21 | 64¢ | 83¢ | +$6 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Tech | No | $15 | 23¢ | 42¢ | +$12 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $26 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 3.4¢ | 1.6¢ | -$29 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 15¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Finance | Yes | $25 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $23 | 1.4¢ | 1.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $16 | 62¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $15 | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 89¢ | 79¢ | -$2 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | No | $13 | 46¢ | 62¢ | +$5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 37¢ | 68¢ | +$8 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $19 | 34¢ | 31¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $23 | 9.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $63 | 54¢ | 14¢ | -$47 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $6 | 43¢ | 99¢ | +$8 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Economy | No | $14 | 68¢ | 57¢ | -$2 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $25 | 27¢ | 12¢ | -$14 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Politics | Yes | $14 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$4 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $20 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$10 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Champions League | Yes | $11 | 14¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 12¢ | 4.5¢ | -$16 |
 Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 39¢ | 49¢ | +$2 |
 Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $18 | 35¢ | 15¢ | -$10 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 11¢ | 3.2¢ | -$17 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 42¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
 USMCA extended in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 79¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 23¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $5 | 53¢ | 49¢ | -$0 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 41¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 54¢ | 19¢ | -$9 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $14 | 13¢ | 4.5¢ | -$9 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 31¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $3 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 21¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
| Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 58¢ | 48¢ | -$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | Yes | $18 | 1.9¢ | 0.4¢ | -$15 |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?Economy | Yes | $3 | 51¢ | 46¢ | -$0 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 29¢ | 38¢ | +$1 |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$0 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 30¢ | 38¢ | +$0 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $2 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $1 | 7.7¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 3.9¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 18¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $850B by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Economy | YesResolved | $34 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 WinnereSports | SAW YoungstersResolved | $5 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |