 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $287 | 34¢ | 42¢ | +$59 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $304 | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$42 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $282 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $175 | 52¢ | 66¢ | +$46 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $145 | 36¢ | 44¢ | +$31 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $147 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $140 | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $130 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $108 | 34¢ | 43¢ | +$27 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $72 | 28¢ | 50¢ | +$56 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $115 | 57¢ | 63¢ | +$12 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $104 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $79 | 66¢ | 94¢ | +$33 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $97 | 77¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $92 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$4 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | Yes | $39 | 25¢ | 53¢ | +$45 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | No | $61 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 40¢ | 46¢ | +$8 |
 Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?Politics | No | $68 | 95¢ | 90¢ | -$4 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $61 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 78¢ | 75¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $51 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $44 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 83¢ | 72¢ | -$7 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $42 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $25 | 36¢ | 61¢ | +$17 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $34 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $33 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?Politics | Yes | $30 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Economy | Yes | $27 | 34¢ | 37¢ | +$2 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | Yes | $34 | 40¢ | 32¢ | -$7 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $25 | 80¢ | 79¢ | -$0 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $23 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | Yes | $24 | 8.5¢ | 6.6¢ | -$5 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?Politics | No | $18 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Economy | Yes | $17 | 44¢ | 36¢ | -$3 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $18 | 20¢ | 16¢ | -$4 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $13 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $22 | 57¢ | 35¢ | -$8 |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 54¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 21¢ | 34¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 18¢ | 8.5¢ | -$11 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | Yes | $7 | 41¢ | 61¢ | +$3 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | No | $7 | 23¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $6 | 43¢ | 72¢ | +$4 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 54¢ | 68¢ | +$2 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | Yes | $8 | 89¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $19 | 34¢ | 13¢ | -$12 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 32¢ | +$3 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Finance | No | $6 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $17 | 31¢ | 11¢ | -$11 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Economy | Yes | $6 | 68¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?Economy | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?Economy | No | $4 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.7¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $3 | 78¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 41¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be greater than 3.5%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 3.0¢ | 6.0¢ | +$2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 31¢ | 31¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 42¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | Yes | $6 | 35¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 9.2¢ | 0.9¢ | -$31 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.4¢ | 5.5¢ | -$0 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $4 | 54¢ | 31¢ | -$2 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $2 | 29¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $2 | 29¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.6¢ | 0.7¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | No | $2 | 6.0¢ | 5.1¢ | -$0 |
| Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 15¢ | 2.6¢ | -$8 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?Economy | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $1 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will there be no change to Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief in 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?Crypto | YesResolved | $81 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |