Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $237 | 5.5¢ | 24¢ | +$805 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $571 | 8.6¢ | 14¢ | +$377 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $819 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $77 | 4.8¢ | 50¢ | +$726 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $46 | 1.8¢ | 20¢ | +$463 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $473 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$30 |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $401 | 50¢ | 62¢ | +$101 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $507 | 94¢ | 88¢ | -$30 |
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $65 | 15¢ | 93¢ | +$346 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $247 | 4.4¢ | 7.2¢ | +$160 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $237 | 51¢ | 86¢ | +$161 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $360 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$18 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $99 | 2.5¢ | 8.8¢ | +$252 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $136 | 7.3¢ | 18¢ | +$190 |
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $203 | 61¢ | 97¢ | +$119 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $19 | 0.8¢ | 13¢ | +$282 |
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | No | $360 | 78¢ | 64¢ | -$66 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $263 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $236 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | No | $265 | 53¢ | 47¢ | -$33 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $158 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$40 |
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $154 | 77¢ | 98¢ | +$41 |
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $138 | 86¢ | 97¢ | +$18 |
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $175 | 72¢ | 63¢ | -$21 |
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | No | $143 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$6 |
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | No | $205 | 67¢ | 49¢ | -$56 |
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $17 | 10¢ | 85¢ | +$126 |
Will the Denver Nuggets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $144 | 88¢ | 85¢ | -$6 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $32 | 12¢ | 52¢ | +$103 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $124 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$9 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $121 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-02 House seat?Politics | Yes | $131 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $141 | 44¢ | 39¢ | -$18 |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $109 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$11 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $103 | 41¢ | 48¢ | +$16 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $90 | 44¢ | 54¢ | +$19 |
Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Soccer (other) | No | $105 | 95¢ | 92¢ | -$3 |
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $98 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$2 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $92 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $79 | 35¢ | 42¢ | +$16 |
Will Kinetiq reach $0.7 before 2027?Crypto | No | $59 | 49¢ | 75¢ | +$31 |
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Soccer (other) | No | $80 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$8 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | Yes | $87 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $92 | 89¢ | 83¢ | -$7 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 0.8¢ | 2.5¢ | +$58 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 48¢ | 83¢ | +$35 |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $26 | 0.8¢ | 2.5¢ | +$56 |
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | No | $78 | 70¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Culture | No | $72 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$9 |
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-04 House seat?Politics | Yes | $54 | 68¢ | 96¢ | +$22 |
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $83 | 83¢ | 77¢ | -$7 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $64 | 58¢ | 66¢ | +$8 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $87 | 78¢ | 65¢ | -$14 |
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Economy | No | $85 | 68¢ | 57¢ | -$13 |
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Boxing | Mayweather | $74 | 53¢ | 51¢ | -$4 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $80 | 60¢ | 53¢ | -$10 |
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $155 | 36¢ | 16¢ | -$86 |
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $44 | 62¢ | 99¢ | +$26 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $69 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $69 | 69¢ | 64¢ | -$5 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $35 | 45¢ | 82¢ | +$29 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $18 | 13¢ | 45¢ | +$45 |
Will the season series between the Texans and Titans end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $65 | 59¢ | 56¢ | -$3 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $59 | 78¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $79 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$20 |
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $69 | 39¢ | 32¢ | -$13 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $55 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $53 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 0.8¢ | 1.7¢ | +$28 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 0.8¢ | 3.5¢ | +$40 |
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 0.8¢ | 1.8¢ | +$29 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 0.8¢ | 3.6¢ | +$39 |
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $30 | 59¢ | 94¢ | +$18 |
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?Olympics | Yes | $51 | 93¢ | 86¢ | -$4 |
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $50 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$2 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $18 | 0.8¢ | 1.8¢ | +$25 |
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Politics | Yes | $40 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $12 | 0.8¢ | 2.6¢ | +$28 |
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $36 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$3 |
Will the Texans win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $40 | 48¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.8¢ | 5.7¢ | +$32 |
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?NBA | Yes | $43 | 82¢ | 71¢ | -$6 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $186 | 84¢ | 17¢ | -$149 |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$6 |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | No | $99 | 66¢ | 24¢ | -$63 |
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | Yes | $32 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $48 | 0.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$14 |
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 7.0¢ | 7.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.8¢ | 2.6¢ | +$23 |
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $33 | 44¢ | 43¢ | -$1 |
Will Sam Altman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $27 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $17 | 29¢ | 48¢ | +$11 |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 0.8¢ | 1.1¢ | +$7 |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$1 |
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $112 | 31¢ | 7.5¢ | -$85 |
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $39 | 26¢ | 18¢ | -$12 |
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Politics | No | $20 | 49¢ | 68¢ | +$7 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 0.8¢ | 1.8¢ | +$15 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Culture | No | $98 | 55¢ | 14¢ | -$72 |
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $31 | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$5 |