← Whale Watch

Motosha

Predicting since Feb 2026285 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.6K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $786 across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$43466¢77¢+$70
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$37782¢89¢+$28
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$26753¢68¢+$71
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?PoliticsNo$26269¢71¢+$5
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$25153¢53¢-$2
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16373¢88¢+$34
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$21569¢60¢-$27
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15893¢98¢+$9
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$14064¢69¢+$10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$14010¢9.5¢-$7
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$775.2¢8.5¢+$48
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$10238¢40¢+$5
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10443¢40¢-$9
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$2722¢73¢+$64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8077¢78¢+$1
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$8533¢31¢-$5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$8663¢53¢-$14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5811¢12¢+$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$5959¢58¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$4413¢17¢+$13
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$5240¢39¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4191¢96¢+$2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2621¢27¢+$8
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$365.1¢4.9¢-$2
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$325.4¢4.7¢-$4
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$278.1¢6.5¢-$5
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$2622¢13¢-$11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1276¢89¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$55135¢0.5¢-$542
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?PoliticsYes$3122¢6.0¢-$23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$594¢99¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoYes$4512¢0.8¢-$42
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?PoliticsYes$3518¢0.8¢-$34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$156¢99¢+$1
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$225¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?PoliticsNoResolved$75.0¢0.0¢-$7
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$470¢0.0¢-$4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$94.7¢0.0¢-$9
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1115¢0.0¢-$11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2027¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7739¢0.0¢-$77
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$17184¢0.0¢-$171
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$467.5¢0.0¢-$46
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2511¢0.0¢-$25
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$156.0¢0.0¢-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6711¢0.0¢-$67
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?CryptoYesResolved$9433¢0.0¢-$94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$5814¢0.0¢-$58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6422¢0.0¢-$64
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?PoliticsNoResolved$7183¢0.0¢-$71
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$358.5¢0.0¢-$35
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?CryptoNoResolved$103.0¢0.0¢-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$40631¢0.0¢-$406
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?CryptoNoResolved$1412¢0.0¢-$14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7419¢0.0¢-$74
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$34872¢0.0¢-$348
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$17134¢0.0¢-$171
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$4364¢0.0¢-$43
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$238.0¢0.0¢-$23
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$144.5¢0.0¢-$14
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$18.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$23757¢0.0¢-$237
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$4686¢0.0¢-$46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4644¢0.0¢-$46
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$15953¢0.0¢-$159
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$32317¢0.0¢-$323
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2517¢0.0¢-$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$8817¢0.0¢-$88
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?CryptoYesResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$7672¢0.0¢-$76
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$12811¢0.0¢-$128
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$50364¢0.0¢-$503
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?CryptoYesResolved$1318¢0.0¢-$13
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$249.2¢0.0¢-$24
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1743¢0.0¢-$17
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$8549¢0.0¢-$85

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$6.6K
Crypto-$60
World Cup+$1
Culture+$1
Biggest hit
+$438
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$51h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Trump and Putin not meet?$35h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$2310h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$910h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?$1510h ago
  • Sold No · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?$120h ago
  • Sold No · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?$220h ago
  • Sold No · Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?$121h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$261d ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$101d ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$11d ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$01d ago