← Whale Watch

ms1910

Predicting since Feb 2025490 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?TechNo$14761¢99¢+$90
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?TechYes$6823¢80¢+$168
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$19095¢99¢+$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$12986¢99¢+$20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$11677¢80¢+$3
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$15477¢56¢-$42
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$9696¢99¢+$3
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$9393¢94¢+$1
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$8787¢91¢+$5
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9191¢91¢-$1
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$8686¢89¢+$3
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$8686¢86¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$8888¢85¢-$3
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$7979¢84¢+$5
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?TechNo$8484¢83¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$5074¢88¢+$9
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5191¢94¢+$2
Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?TechYes$227.3¢17¢+$30
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3366¢99¢+$17
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$3680¢100¢+$9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3365¢89¢+$12
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$3060¢87¢+$14
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3263¢74¢+$6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2749¢65¢+$9
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$1122¢59¢+$19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$3162¢59¢-$2
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$1632¢41¢+$4
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsNo$1993¢96¢+$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$1363¢92¢+$6
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$47.8¢27¢+$10
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$1414¢12¢-$3
Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsNo$882¢86¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$766¢78¢+$1
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsNo$592¢89¢-$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$411¢11¢+$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$840¢21¢-$4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$420¢20¢+$0
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?TechNo$318¢20¢+$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2828¢0.0¢-$28
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$27.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World CupNoResolved$3431¢0.0¢-$34
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2929¢0.0¢-$29
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$690
Tech+$419
Politics-$242
Olympics+$81
Soccer (other)-$67
NFL+$61
Hockey (other)-$57
Culture-$56
La Liga+$51
Bundesliga-$40
Champions League-$39
Tennis-$31
Biggest hit
+$200
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
Toughest beat
-$217
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$203h ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$104h ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$94h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$355h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$25h ago
  • Sold No · Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$213h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$2121h ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$3921h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$1321h ago
  • Sold No · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?$3721h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$3421h ago
  • Sold No · Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$4021h ago