 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $260 | 87¢ | 93¢ | +$20 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $236 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$21 |
 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in September?Tech | No | $188 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $140 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$17 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $153 | 81¢ | 78¢ | -$5 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?Tech | No | $149 | 67¢ | 65¢ | -$5 |
 Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Politics | No | $127 | 81¢ | 84¢ | +$5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $91 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$2 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $86 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in September?Tech | No | $75 | 75¢ | 87¢ | +$12 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$5 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $74 | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $79 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $154 | 77¢ | 37¢ | -$80 |
 Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | No | $84 | 70¢ | 60¢ | -$13 |
 Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $51 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 65¢ | 95¢ | +$15 |
 Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | Yes | $42 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 49¢ | 78¢ | +$16 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $32 | 63¢ | 84¢ | +$10 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $37 | 73¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Politics | Yes | $17 | 14¢ | 30¢ | +$19 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $23 | 45¢ | 70¢ | +$13 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 25¢ | 67¢ | +$21 |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?Tech | Yes | $25 | 31¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $29 | 57¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $33 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$9 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $16 | 41¢ | 48¢ | +$3 |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $13 | 63¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $15 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$3 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 55¢ | 26¢ | -$18 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 15¢ | 21¢ | +$4 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 13¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $4 | 7.8¢ | 19¢ | +$6 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $31 | 62¢ | 19¢ | -$22 |
| Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?Mentions | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 8.8¢ | 18¢ | +$4 |
 Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Tech | Anthropic | $7 | 77¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $14 | 14¢ | 4.5¢ | -$10 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $4 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
 Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-09?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $20 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $28 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
 TSV 1860 München vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 3.5Soccer (other) | OverResolved | $30 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will TSV 1860 München win on 2026-08-22?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $15 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Politics | NoResolved | $59 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$59 |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $87 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$87 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 24-August 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?Politics | YesResolved | $105 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?Tech | YesResolved | $76 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$76 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $14 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-08-30?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $5 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Claude go down 11-13 times in August?Tech | YesResolved | $17 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World Cup | NoResolved | $34 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
| Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $29 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 Patriots vs. SeahawksNFL | PatriotsResolved | $30 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |