emp992

Predicting since Nov 20242,400 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.2K on Crypto markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $3.8K across 4 Politics markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Iran leadership change by September 30?Politics	No	$2.4K	90¢	98¢	+$205
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$2.0K	89¢	94¢	+$105
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Politics	Yes	$1.2K	91¢	94¢	+$32
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics	No	$900	87¢	86¢	-$14
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics	No	$800	91¢	93¢	+$14
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	No	$600	96¢	94¢	-$9
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Politics	No	$400	92¢	92¢	-$2
Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics	No	$300	91¢	95¢	+$13
Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics	No	$250	94¢	95¢	+$3
Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics	No	$200	86¢	92¢	+$13
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$200	95¢	95¢	-$2
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics	No	$200	93¢	91¢	-$6
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Politics	Yes	$200	88¢	78¢	-$23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$100	94¢	95¢	+$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech	Yes	$100	89¢	84¢	-$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics	Yes	$70	90¢	90¢	-$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics	Yes	$54	57¢	45¢	-$12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	No	$40	95¢	94¢	-$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics	No	$30	94¢	95¢	+$1
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Politics	No	$30	87¢	88¢	+$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?Finance	No	$30	92¢	92¢	-$0
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics	Yes	$30	79¢	78¢	-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?Finance	No	$30	95¢	94¢	-$0
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Politics	No	$26	98¢	98¢	+$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Politics	Yes	$20	69¢	70¢	+$0
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?Soccer (other)	Yes	$20	91¢	92¢	+$0
Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics	No	$20	94¢	95¢	+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics	No	$20	78¢	78¢	-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?Politics	Yes	$20	67¢	66¢	-$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Politics	No	$15	57¢	55¢	-$1
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics	Yes	$10	44¢	51¢	+$2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Politics	No	$10	84¢	83¢	-$0
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics	No	$10	95¢	94¢	-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	63¢	62¢	-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics	No	$10	95¢	93¢	-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	67¢	65¢	-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?Politics	Yes	$10	67¢	63¢	-$1
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$10	40¢	32¢	-$2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics	Yes	$5	60¢	60¢	-$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics	Yes	$10	41¢	16¢	-$6
Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?Politics	Yes	$2	49¢	36¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$3.2K

Politics-$2.1K

World Cup+$460

Culture+$116

Mentions+$47

Other-$34

Tech-$5

Soccer (other)+$1

Finance-$1

Weather+$0

Champions League+$0

Biggest hit

+$290

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Toughest beat

-$1.7K

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?$5038m ago
Bought No · Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$5043m ago
Cashed out Down · XRP Up or Down - September 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$6244m ago
Bought Down · XRP Up or Down - September 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$2046m ago
Bought Down · XRP Up or Down - September 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$4047m ago
Bought Yes · Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?$2047m ago
Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$1858m ago
Cashed out Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$3859m ago
Cashed out Up · Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$4059m ago
Cashed out Down · XRP Up or Down - September 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$51h ago
Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$101h ago
Bought No · Will Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$401h ago