← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jul 2025634 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Politics markets since Jul 2025.

Right now: $651 riding on Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$1.3K on Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$21040¢69¢+$153
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$17942¢63¢+$84
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?PoliticsNo$23231¢34¢+$27
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$19043¢44¢+$3
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?PoliticsNo$9849¢78¢+$56
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsYes$28532¢14¢-$164
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$65121¢3.6¢-$537
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?FinanceYes$10135¢38¢+$9
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?PoliticsYes$10013¢13¢+$3
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?PoliticsYes$11111¢9.5¢-$19
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechNo$20925¢9.5¢-$129
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherNo$4940¢60¢+$24
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?PoliticsYes$15140¢18¢-$83
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$9531¢21¢-$31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5053¢65¢+$11
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?PoliticsYes$9945¢26¢-$42
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?FinanceYes$12032¢15¢-$64
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?PoliticsYes$9924¢11¢-$55
Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026?FinanceYes$9019¢8.5¢-$50
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$8729¢9.5¢-$59
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$15733¢6.0¢-$129
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?PoliticsYes$279.0¢7.0¢-$6
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?PoliticsYes$2510.0¢8.0¢-$5
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$519.2¢3.4¢-$32
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?PoliticsYes$5010.0¢3.3¢-$33
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?PoliticsYes$5010¢3.3¢-$34
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?PoliticsYes$2023¢12¢-$10
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1343¢26¢-$5
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?PoliticsYes$8110¢0.9¢-$73
Will Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?OtherYes$6715¢1.6¢-$60
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$711¢8.5¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?PoliticsYes$2517¢3.5¢-$20
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$616¢6.5¢-$4
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$142.0¢0.0¢-$14
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$42.0¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.1K
Mentions-$504
NFL+$482
Finance+$464
Tech+$442
NBA-$407
Economy+$352
Tennis+$297
Olympics+$230
Culture-$212
Crypto+$186
Other sports+$98
Biggest hit
+$1.3K
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$36d ago
  • Bought Yes · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$06d ago
  • Bought Yes · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$56d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$06d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$06d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$08d ago
  • Bought Yes · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$19d ago
  • Bought Yes · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$110d ago
  • Bought Yes · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$011d ago