← Whale Watch

0x1e7565263d17Bbf133E4aB9d8423Ec695FDd63F1-1776023416348

Predicting since Apr 20261,690 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?CultureYes$416¢16¢+$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?CultureYes$49.6¢8.8¢-$0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?EconomyNo$436¢36¢-$0
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$34.0¢4.5¢+$0
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$410¢8.9¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$34.7¢4.7¢-$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?PoliticsNo$423¢16¢-$1
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$49.0¢6.0¢-$1
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$22.1¢2.3¢+$0
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$240¢37¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?FinanceYes$48.0¢4.0¢-$2
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?CultureNo$21.6¢1.6¢-$0
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$432¢17¢-$2
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?EconomyYes$37.0¢5.0¢-$1
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$32.3¢1.7¢-$1
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$434¢17¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$22.2¢2.0¢-$0
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?Soccer (other)No$35.6¢3.6¢-$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$416¢6.5¢-$2
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$25.7¢6.0¢+$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?PoliticsYes$429¢12¢-$2
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$34.8¢2.5¢-$1
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?PoliticsNo$22.7¢1.9¢-$1
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$328¢17¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$242¢42¢-$0
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$21.7¢1.3¢-$1
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?PoliticsYes$420¢7.0¢-$3
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$422¢7.6¢-$3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$227¢18¢-$1
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?EconomyYes$38.6¢4.5¢-$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$332¢17¢-$1
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?PoliticsNo$35.2¢2.5¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August?FinanceYes$22.1¢1.4¢-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$22.6¢1.7¢-$1
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$419¢6.0¢-$3
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?PoliticsYes$32.5¢1.3¢-$1
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$27.1¢4.7¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsNo$38.0¢3.5¢-$2
Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove win the CA-37 House seat?PoliticsNo$14.6¢5.9¢+$0
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$22.2¢1.3¢-$1
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in August?FinanceYes$24.2¢2.3¢-$1
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?PoliticsYes$24.0¢2.3¢-$1
Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$11.8¢1.4¢-$0
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsYes$432¢9.5¢-$2
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$23.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?CultureYesResolved$16.5¢0.0¢-$1
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19?WeatherNoResolved$214¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$11.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechNoResolved$316¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$05.3¢0.0¢-$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$44.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?CultureYesResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$239¢0.0¢-$2
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoYesResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?PoliticsYesResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$02.7¢0.0¢-$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$05.3¢0.0¢-$0
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoNoResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?TechYesResolved$019¢0.0¢-$0
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$37.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elizabeth Lee be the AZ-05 Democratic nominee?PoliticsNoResolved$210¢0.0¢-$2
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$03.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends TournamenteSportsYesResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of July 20 2026?FinanceYesResolved$121¢0.0¢-$1
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$49.0¢0.0¢-$4
Will there be no next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$26.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?CultureYesResolved$321¢0.0¢-$3
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoNoResolved$330¢0.0¢-$3
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?PoliticsYesResolved$03.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World CupNoResolved$04.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Brett Newby be the Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction Democratic nominee?PoliticsYesResolved$03.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?CultureYesResolved$312¢0.0¢-$3
Israel closes its airspace by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$412¢0.0¢-$4
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Alan Campbell be in the Burnham cabinet?PoliticsNoResolved$41.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$04.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$22.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$24.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?PoliticsNoResolved$05.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Nico O'Reilly win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$02.3¢0.0¢-$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$117¢0.0¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 19?WeatherYesResolved$135¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?World CupYesResolved$04.8¢0.0¢-$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?EconomyNoResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 19?WeatherYesResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?NFLYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$23.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?PoliticsYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Bridget Phillipson be in the Burnham cabinet?PoliticsNoResolved$36.9¢0.0¢-$3
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 18?WeatherYesResolved$421¢0.0¢-$4
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoYesResolved$323¢0.0¢-$3
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$05.1¢0.0¢-$0
US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$06.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$119
eSports-$34
Crypto-$22
Culture-$15
Soccer (other)-$14
Economy-$13
NHL+$12
Finance-$11
Weather-$10
Tech-$8
Champions League-$7
World Cup-$7
Biggest hit
+$8
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
Toughest beat
-$3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Recent moves

  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$54m ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$410m ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$027m ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$01h ago
  • Bought No · Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid?$32h ago
  • Sold No · Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$53h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$14h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?$14h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by July 31, 2026?$14h ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$14h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$04h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?$44h ago