 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $55 | 27¢ | 83¢ | +$112 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 42¢ | 85¢ | +$82 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $54 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$28 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $25 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $21 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 37¢ | 63¢ | +$9 |
 Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $18 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?Tech | No | $18 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 64¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $6 | 43¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $13 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Iran leadership change by November 30?Politics | No | $12 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $18 | 34¢ | 22¢ | -$7 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 20¢ | 39¢ | +$6 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | Yes | $18 | 26¢ | 15¢ | -$8 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Finance | Yes | $24 | 44¢ | 19¢ | -$14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $6 | 69¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $6 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $6 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $6 | 67¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $6 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?Weather | No | $6 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $6 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Finance | Yes | $6 | 75¢ | 41¢ | -$3 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Crypto | Yes | $17 | 46¢ | 8.5¢ | -$14 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 49¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Finance | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 9.0¢ | -$3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | Yes | $7 | 15¢ | 4.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $0 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Politics | YesResolved | $18 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Mentions | YesResolved | $6 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump say "Tractor" during National Agriculture Day events?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours?Culture | NoResolved | $12 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $53 | 8.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$53 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump or Melania say "Child" 5+ times at the Military Mothers event?Mentions | NoResolved | $6 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Tech | NoResolved | $19 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 99¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 93¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 91¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 94¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $6 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $474 | 8.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$474 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $36 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Tech | NoResolved | $6 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 84¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Michigan remarks?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump kiss by May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $19 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $11 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $3 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |