 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $68 | 44¢ | 99¢ | +$85 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $85 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $80 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $58 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$8 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $52 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 18¢ | 44¢ | +$28 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 46¢ | 56¢ | +$9 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $36 | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
 Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $36 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $49 | 65¢ | 48¢ | -$13 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 81¢ | 56¢ | -$15 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $33 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $39 | 98¢ | 81¢ | -$7 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $31 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $29 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 30¢ | 36¢ | +$5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $27 | 65¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 29¢ | 99¢ | +$18 |
 Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $21 | 80¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $23 | 90¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $23 | 96¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $21 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $19 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Tech | No | $4 | 24¢ | 97¢ | +$13 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $16 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $15 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $15 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $15 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 26¢ | 24¢ | -$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $12 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $12 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | No | $5 | 15¢ | 33¢ | +$6 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 51¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $9 | 76¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $10 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 53¢ | +$4 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8 | 23¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?Tech | Yes | $9 | 26¢ | 20¢ | -$2 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 66¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Politics | No | $6 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $6 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $6 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 27¢ | -$5 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 67¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 12¢ | 9.3¢ | -$2 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
| Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 55¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 66¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 53¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 15¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 93¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $5 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $4 | 74¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 44¢ | 74¢ | +$2 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $5 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $5 | 84¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 82¢ | 68¢ | -$1 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $3 | 4.0¢ | 4.5¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $3 | 49¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 60¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$0 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | No | $3 | 6.1¢ | 7.2¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.5¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 53¢ | -$0 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 3.6¢ | 4.2¢ | +$0 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 54¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.1¢ | 3.2¢ | -$2 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 37¢ | 13¢ | -$4 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $3 | 58¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 31¢ | +$1 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 42¢ | 15¢ | -$3 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$2 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.5¢ | 6.2¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.5¢ | 5.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 12¢ | 7.1¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out No · Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?$1212d ago