Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $20 | 18¢ | 81¢ | +$70 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $85 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $80 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $58 | 74¢ | 93¢ | +$15 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $52 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$7 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $31 | 57¢ | 79¢ | +$11 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $36 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $49 | 65¢ | 49¢ | -$12 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $33 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$3 |
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $27 | 65¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 26¢ | 48¢ | +$14 |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $29 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | Yes | $21 | 80¢ | 98¢ | +$5 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $23 | 90¢ | 82¢ | -$2 |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $23 | 96¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $19 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $36 | 42¢ | 22¢ | -$18 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $16 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $15 | 77¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $21 | 35¢ | 28¢ | -$4 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $15 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 42¢ | 89¢ | +$8 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 30¢ | 17¢ | -$11 |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $12 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $12 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $50 | 81¢ | 20¢ | -$38 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $10 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $9 | 76¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $10 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $15 | 74¢ | 52¢ | -$4 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 72¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | No | $5 | 15¢ | 28¢ | +$5 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 51¢ | +$3 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 24¢ | 16¢ | -$4 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $8 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$2 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 53¢ | 54¢ | +$0 |
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | No | $4 | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $6 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 15¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $6 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 67¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $3 | 55¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 66¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 44¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $5 | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $5 | 85¢ | 76¢ | -$1 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $5 | 84¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $4 | 60¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $10 | 23¢ | 9.2¢ | -$6 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 6.1¢ | 4.9¢ | -$1 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 54¢ | 51¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $3 | 4.0¢ | 4.3¢ | +$0 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 23¢ | 15¢ | -$1 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 13¢ | -$8 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 15¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.7¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $0 | 4.3¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $4 | 25¢ | 7.5¢ | -$3 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 6.2¢ | 3.8¢ | -$1 |
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.5¢ | 4.7¢ | +$1 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 9.5¢ | 4.7¢ | -$1 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 37¢ | 6.5¢ | -$5 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Politics | No | $3 | 6.1¢ | 2.4¢ | -$2 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 2.3¢ | 2.5¢ | +$0 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $2 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5MLB | UnderResolved | $21 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 16?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5MLB | UnderResolved | $7 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)NBA | SpursResolved | $2 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Other sports | OverResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)MLB | Cleveland GuardiansResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 15?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 22?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5MLB | UnderResolved | $35 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Politics | NoResolved | $0 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |