← Whale Watch

crayven

Predicting since Feb 2025755 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $7.5K on Politics markets since Feb 2025.

Right now: $1.2K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Will no vote occur on a new funding bill by October 31?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$1.0K12¢16¢+$311
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$8447.5¢8.8¢+$155
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?PoliticsYes$52083¢91¢+$50
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$33676¢82¢+$26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?PoliticsNo$30091¢99¢+$27
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2006.9¢8.2¢+$38
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$21042¢38¢-$19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20086¢78¢-$19
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$11085¢96¢+$14
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$10090¢99¢+$10
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$10556¢57¢+$2
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$10063¢66¢+$4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10090¢92¢+$2
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$5073¢100¢+$19
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?PoliticsYes$10150¢32¢-$37
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5087¢100¢+$7
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?PoliticsYes$5082¢87¢+$3
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$5059¢61¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$5088¢85¢-$2
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3166¢67¢+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2041¢63¢+$10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$5022¢8.0¢-$32
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1538¢41¢+$1
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?PoliticsYes$1036¢50¢+$4
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?PoliticsYes$1520¢18¢-$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsYes$1056¢66¢+$2
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1091¢99¢+$1
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?PoliticsNo$1083¢87¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$1064¢67¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1043¢44¢+$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$1035¢35¢+$0
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?PoliticsYes$1090¢90¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1085¢85¢-$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$1052¢52¢-$0
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?PoliticsNo$1080¢79¢-$0
Government shutdown by October 1?PoliticsYes$1048¢47¢-$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$1068¢66¢-$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1035¢33¢-$1
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$1047¢44¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$1048¢44¢-$1
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$5040¢6.6¢-$42
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$1144¢33¢-$3
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1072¢55¢-$2
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsYes$567¢99¢+$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1056¢38¢-$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$1087¢58¢-$3
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$575¢97¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$1086¢51¢-$4
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsYes$582¢88¢+$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechYes$565¢68¢+$0
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoNo$460¢71¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$517¢16¢-$0
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$530¢27¢-$0
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?PoliticsYes$548¢43¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$2079¢17¢-$16
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$1036¢16¢-$6
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$550¢21¢-$3
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$58.9¢3.4¢-$3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsYes$1047¢8.5¢-$8
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$162¢87¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$162¢86¢+$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$235¢18¢-$1
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$3020¢0.0¢-$30
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Champions LeagueNoResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?PoliticsNoResolved$22057¢0.0¢-$220
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?PoliticsNoResolved$55.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?NBAYesResolved$562¢0.0¢-$5
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1021¢0.0¢-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1048¢0.0¢-$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1081¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?PoliticsYesResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$4080¢0.0¢-$40
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1088¢0.0¢-$10
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$659¢0.0¢-$6
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5029¢0.0¢-$50
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1042¢0.0¢-$10
Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1080¢0.0¢-$10
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5572¢0.0¢-$55
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1070¢0.0¢-$10
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2063¢0.0¢-$20
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?TechYesResolved$12448¢0.0¢-$124
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?FinanceYesResolved$580¢0.0¢-$5
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld CupMexicoResolved$2048¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$154.1¢0.0¢-$15
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$535¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$100.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$1072¢0.0¢-$10
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2044¢0.0¢-$20
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2453¢0.0¢-$24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$7.5K
Economy-$644
Soccer (other)-$605
Culture-$188
World Cup+$118
Finance+$86
Tennis+$44
NFL+$37
Tech+$27
Champions League-$14
Other sports-$10
La Liga+$9
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Will no vote occur on a new funding bill by October 31?
Toughest beat
-$922
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$2515h ago
  • Bought No · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$518h ago
  • Sold No · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$13518h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$18822h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3031d ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?$2101d ago
  • Bought No · Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$1001d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4041d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?$101d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?$222d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$202d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1543d ago