 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Politics | No | $36 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $37 | 81¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?Crypto | Yes | $21 | 40¢ | 56¢ | +$8 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | No | $25 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $21 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $16 | 67¢ | 90¢ | +$6 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $19 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Politics | Yes | $13 | 65¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $22 | 62¢ | 48¢ | -$5 |
 Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $19 | 59¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
 Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $16 | 82¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $15 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $11 | 40¢ | 51¢ | +$3 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $13 | 64¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 56¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Weather | No | $7 | 52¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Finance | No | $7 | 60¢ | 90¢ | +$4 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
| Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $10 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $9 | 45¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $7 | 36¢ | 46¢ | +$2 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $8 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 84¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $12 | 58¢ | 45¢ | -$3 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $7 | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | Yes | $8 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?Politics | No | $9 | 46¢ | 42¢ | -$1 |
 StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $8 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 62¢ | 51¢ | -$2 |
 Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 61¢ | 76¢ | +$2 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?Crypto | No | $6 | 62¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $7 | 73¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $6 | 60¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 28¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $8 | 78¢ | 70¢ | -$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 41¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
 Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026Crypto | No | $6 | 74¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $7 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | No | $7 | 67¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $6 | 61¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $6 | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 78¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $5 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $5 | 83¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 51¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
| Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 55¢ | 51¢ | -$0 |
 Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 52¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | No | $4 | 68¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 86¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 New COVID variant of concern before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?Crypto | Yes | $6 | 59¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 52¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 45¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $4 | 41¢ | 40¢ | -$0 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?Politics | Yes | $4 | 83¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 41¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
 Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 37¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
 Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $4 | 36¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $3 | 61¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?Crypto | No | $4 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $4 | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$0 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Economy | Yes | $3 | 37¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
 New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?Politics | No | $2 | 47¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $3 | 33¢ | 25¢ | -$1 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
 Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
 Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 19¢ | -$1 |
 Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Crypto | No | $1 | 51¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
 Maduro guilty of all counts?Politics | No | $2 | 69¢ | 51¢ | -$1 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Tech | No | $1 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?Crypto | YesResolved | $13 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $8 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 Week of June 29 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?Crypto | NoResolved | $14 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?Crypto | NoResolved | $7 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Sold No · Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$223h ago
Sold Yes · Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$21d ago
Sold No · Will ChatGPT be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$41d ago
Sold Yes · China ballistic missile launch by December 31?$11d ago
Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 26?$101d ago
Sold Yes · Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$31d ago