 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $35 | 23¢ | 64¢ | +$61 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $29 | 25¢ | 81¢ | +$66 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $42 | 28¢ | 55¢ | +$42 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $22 | 13¢ | 42¢ | +$47 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $40 | 50¢ | 80¢ | +$24 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Politics | Yes | $45 | 27¢ | 36¢ | +$15 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $4 | 6.6¢ | 87¢ | +$53 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $55 | 31¢ | 30¢ | -$2 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.5¢ | 86¢ | +$49 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $30 | 5.5¢ | 8.0¢ | +$13 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 15¢ | 79¢ | +$28 |
 Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 8.3¢ | 56¢ | +$27 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.3¢ | 45¢ | +$27 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $39 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$10 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $67 | 11¢ | 4.6¢ | -$38 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.3¢ | 43¢ | +$26 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $67 | 51¢ | 21¢ | -$39 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $44 | 26¢ | 16¢ | -$17 |
 Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 30¢ | 50¢ | +$8 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $25 | 15¢ | 12¢ | -$6 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10.0¢ | 20¢ | +$10 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $18 | 53¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 1.4¢ | 98¢ | +$17 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $22 | 3.7¢ | 2.9¢ | -$5 |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Tech | Yes | $25 | 50¢ | 34¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 28¢ | +$15 |
 Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 7.1¢ | 89¢ | +$15 |
 Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $4 | 3.1¢ | 14¢ | +$13 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $12 | 10.0¢ | 13¢ | +$4 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.6¢ | 28¢ | +$14 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 7.1¢ | 67¢ | +$14 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $21 | 13¢ | 8.9¢ | -$6 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $9 | 25¢ | 41¢ | +$6 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.6¢ | 25¢ | +$12 |
| Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 14¢ | +$11 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 89¢ | +$12 |
 Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?MLS | Yes | $12 | 38¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Politics | Yes | $21 | 13¢ | 7.9¢ | -$8 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 25¢ | 32¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 25¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?Politics | Yes | $40 | 27¢ | 8.5¢ | -$27 |
 Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $28 | 50¢ | 23¢ | -$15 |
| Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-07?MLS | Yes | $7 | 22¢ | 35¢ | +$4 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.6¢ | 26¢ | +$10 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $38 | 5.8¢ | 1.7¢ | -$27 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $6 | 10.0¢ | 16¢ | +$4 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 9.7¢ | 47¢ | +$8 |
| Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 10¢ | +$7 |
| Will New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 9.5¢ | +$6 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.0¢ | 39¢ | +$8 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $6 | 10.0¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 16¢ | +$7 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 32¢ | 56¢ | +$4 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | Yes | $12 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 44¢ | +$4 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 43¢ | +$7 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 6.3¢ | 43¢ | +$7 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 34¢ | +$7 |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 9.5¢ | +$6 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 33¢ | +$7 |
| Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?MLS | Yes | $12 | 36¢ | 25¢ | -$4 |
| Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $4 | 3.3¢ | 7.1¢ | +$4 |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $6 | 50¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 9.7¢ | 20¢ | +$4 |
| Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $51 | 50¢ | 7.4¢ | -$44 |
 Will Trump deport 400-500k people?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.5¢ | 50¢ | +$7 |
| Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $1 | 10.0¢ | 47¢ | +$6 |
| Will Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $3 | 3.1¢ | 7.5¢ | +$4 |
| Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $4 | 3.1¢ | 5.5¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $3 | 8.3¢ | 16¢ | +$3 |
| Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $1 | 10.0¢ | 44¢ | +$5 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.6¢ | 13¢ | +$5 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | Yes | $3 | 5.5¢ | 11¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $24 | 50¢ | 12¢ | -$18 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 32¢ | +$4 |
 Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?Culture | Yes | $0 | 8.3¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Other | Yes | $0 | 6.3¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 12¢ | 10¢ | -$1 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 26¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?Politics | Yes | $2 | 4.0¢ | 8.3¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.7¢ | 8.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $3 | 8.3¢ | 14¢ | +$2 |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10.0¢ | 4.9¢ | -$5 |
 Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 7.1¢ | 42¢ | +$4 |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 26¢ | +$3 |
 Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?Culture | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 82¢ | +$4 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 23¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 8.3¢ | 26¢ | +$3 |
| Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.3¢ | 8.3¢ | +$3 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $3 | 8.3¢ | 15¢ | +$2 |
| Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?NFL | Yes | $5 | 3.1¢ | 3.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Economy | Yes | $1 | 8.3¢ | 34¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 7.1¢ | 19¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 14¢ | +$3 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $0 | 6.3¢ | 71¢ | +$4 |
| Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers?Weather | Yes | $3 | 8.3¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $6 | 27¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Weather | Yes | $1 | 10.0¢ | 68¢ | +$3 |
Cashed out Yes · Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-22?$53d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$205d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66d ago