US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $743 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$64 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $727 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$23 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $716 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$26 |
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $765 | 39¢ | 35¢ | -$82 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $468 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$34 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $306 | 27¢ | 37¢ | +$113 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $332 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $292 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$14 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $33 | 13¢ | 81¢ | +$169 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $173 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$7 |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $110 | 86¢ | 91¢ | +$7 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $128 | 86¢ | 78¢ | -$12 |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $88 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$1 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $71 | 71¢ | 85¢ | +$14 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $58 | 58¢ | 48¢ | -$10 |
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $101 | 25¢ | 12¢ | -$54 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $11 | 12¢ | 41¢ | +$26 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.5¢ | 8.0¢ | +$22 |
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $28 | 5.5¢ | 4.5¢ | -$5 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 18¢ | 7.5¢ | -$22 |
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $28 | 20¢ | 6.3¢ | -$19 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Politics | Yes | $10 | 10¢ | 4.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 13¢ | 1.9¢ | -$23 |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.0¢ | 0.8¢ | -$0 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 17¢ | 6.3¢ | -$3 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 2.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15 |
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will 175 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $26 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $122 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$122 |
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $69 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $63 | 97¢ | 0.0¢ | -$63 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $227 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$227 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $69 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $121 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $134 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | YesResolved | $23 | 9.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $65 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |