Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$42 |
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $790 | 40¢ | 43¢ | +$70 |
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $628 | 89¢ | 99¢ | +$70 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $277 | 79¢ | 99¢ | +$71 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $194 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $130 | 65¢ | 97¢ | +$65 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $103 | 57¢ | 93¢ | +$66 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $84 | 14¢ | 25¢ | +$67 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $33 | 13¢ | 43¢ | +$74 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $113 | 78¢ | 72¢ | -$9 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ | 95¢ | +$90 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $86 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$1 |
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $70 | 69¢ | 77¢ | +$7 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $71 | 71¢ | 69¢ | -$2 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $58 | 58¢ | 63¢ | +$5 |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$4 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $50 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | Yes | $38 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$6 |
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $47 | 13¢ | 9.6¢ | -$14 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $20 | 40¢ | 50¢ | +$5 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $17 | 34¢ | 50¢ | +$8 |
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $24 | 5.8¢ | 5.9¢ | +$0 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $16 | 2.1¢ | 1.8¢ | -$3 |
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $63 | 97¢ | 14¢ | -$54 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Politics | Yes | $6 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.0¢ | 2.6¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $69 | 44¢ | 4.1¢ | -$63 |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 1.3¢ | 0.7¢ | -$4 |
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.1¢ | 1.3¢ | +$0 |
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 17¢ | 6.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Politics | Yes | $47 | 24¢ | 0.9¢ | -$46 |
| Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Politics | Yes | $23 | 9.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$22 |
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
| Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $122 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$122 |
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $227 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$227 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $69 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$69 |
| Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $47 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$47 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $121 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $134 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$134 |
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 20%+?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?Politics | YesResolved | $58 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Politics | YesResolved | $39 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $65 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |