← Whale Watch

0x3d03…9d52

840 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$9683¢86¢+$2
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$9559¢56¢-$4
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$8796¢100¢+$3
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5825¢28¢+$7
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6194¢99¢+$4
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBAYes$5889¢98¢+$6
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureYes$3553¢89¢+$24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$5820¢16¢-$10
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?WeatherYes$4455¢55¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3182¢98¢+$6
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?PoliticsNo$2468¢99¢+$11
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3291¢96¢+$2
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$2489¢100¢+$3
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2396¢96¢+$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$2617¢16¢-$3
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$2583¢73¢-$3
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$1369¢93¢+$4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1693¢95¢+$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$1632¢33¢+$0
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?PoliticsYes$1581¢81¢-$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1994¢69¢-$5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$2214¢8.5¢-$9
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1241¢44¢+$1
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$1398¢100¢+$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1297¢98¢+$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$2055¢31¢-$9
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$1168¢66¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1426¢21¢-$3
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$1094¢97¢+$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$322¢70¢+$7
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$1094¢94¢-$0
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureNo$873¢89¢+$2
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$881¢98¢+$2
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$984¢89¢+$1
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsYes$985¢89¢+$0
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$884¢98¢+$1
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$992¢97¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1245¢36¢-$3
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$991¢94¢+$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$2027¢13¢-$11
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$883¢91¢+$1
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$1636¢21¢-$7
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$871¢80¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$421¢49¢+$5
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$761¢63¢+$0
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$564¢87¢+$2
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?WeatherYes$685¢95¢+$1
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$692¢97¢+$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$661¢59¢-$0
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$332¢63¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$662¢59¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2427¢6.5¢-$18
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$596¢100¢+$0
Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsNo$482¢100¢+$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?CultureNo$5100¢100¢+$0
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?CultureYes$599¢98¢-$0
Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$597¢98¢+$0
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$598¢98¢-$0
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?PoliticsNo$595¢97¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?PoliticsYes$590¢93¢+$0
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$590¢93¢+$0
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?PoliticsYes$478¢87¢+$0
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?PoliticsYes$495¢92¢-$0
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherYes$435¢34¢-$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$479¢76¢-$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$2115¢2.6¢-$18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$357¢69¢+$1
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsYes$662¢34¢-$3
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFLYes$240¢51¢+$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$539¢24¢-$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$265¢88¢+$1
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$347¢34¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$129¢92¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?PoliticsYes$350¢47¢-$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$262¢66¢+$0
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?PoliticsYes$330¢21¢-$1
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?PoliticsYes$220¢23¢+$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$34.0¢2.8¢-$1
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$284¢88¢+$0
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?PoliticsYes$246¢34¢-$1
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?PoliticsYes$322¢14¢-$1
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?CultureNo$213¢11¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?PoliticsNo$111¢15¢+$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$138¢38¢+$0
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?PoliticsYes$28.0¢4.5¢-$1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$234¢25¢-$0
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?PoliticsYes$183¢92¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$179.0¢0.6¢-$16
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$188¢93¢+$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$248¢21¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Champions League+$150
Crypto+$139
Politics-$114
World Cup-$113
NHL-$99
Mentions+$87
NBA+$46
Other sports-$25
Soccer (other)+$17
Tech+$10
eSports+$6
Culture+$6
Biggest hit
+$165
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Toughest beat
-$170
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$143m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$243m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$23h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$23h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13h ago