Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $163 | 61¢ | 80¢ | +$49 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $120 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$10 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $96 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $58 | 25¢ | 20¢ | -$13 |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $21 | 77¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | No | $23 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $44 | 55¢ | 25¢ | -$24 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $11 | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 81¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 41¢ | 52¢ | +$3 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $3 | 22¢ | 96¢ | +$11 |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $19 | 94¢ | 65¢ | -$6 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $12 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Weather | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 96¢ | +$7 |
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics | No | $10 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $16 | 36¢ | 24¢ | -$5 |
Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $9 | 20¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 68¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Politics | Yes | $9 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 76¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 15¢ | 77¢ | +$7 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 55¢ | 23¢ | -$12 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $8 | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 32¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | Yes | $26 | 17¢ | 4.7¢ | -$19 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 28¢ | 29¢ | +$0 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 32¢ | 14¢ | -$9 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 41¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 39¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$2 |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 18¢ | 8.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $5 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?Politics | Yes | $3 | 64¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 70¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
Iran leadership change by October 31?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Politics | Yes | $5 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 27¢ | 6.0¢ | -$16 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?Politics | Yes | $4 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 3.9¢ | 3.9¢ | +$0 |
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 79¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 53¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 37¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 62¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $11 | 58¢ | 11¢ | -$9 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $2 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 46¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $2 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 93¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 35¢ | -$1 |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | Yes | $2 | 40¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $2 | 19¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$1 |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 22¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 5.2¢ | -$2 |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 37¢ | 31¢ | -$0 |
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |