Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $207 | 14¢ | 20¢ | +$87 |
US recession by end of 2026?Economy | Yes | $341 | 16¢ | 12¢ | -$89 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $169 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | -$39 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | Yes | $250 | 6.2¢ | 3.1¢ | -$125 |
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?Politics | Yes | $120 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $113 | 3.2¢ | 2.6¢ | -$19 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $59 | 1.9¢ | 2.8¢ | +$26 |
Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | Yes | $113 | 9.4¢ | 6.5¢ | -$35 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $102 | 51¢ | 31¢ | -$40 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | Yes | $101 | 8.5¢ | 5.2¢ | -$40 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $35 | 35¢ | 44¢ | +$9 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $24 | 8.0¢ | 14¢ | +$17 |
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?Politics | Yes | $53 | 5.2¢ | 3.7¢ | -$15 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | Yes | $44 | 5.5¢ | 4.3¢ | -$9 |
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics | Yes | $108 | 11¢ | 3.6¢ | -$73 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Politics | Yes | $47 | 7.8¢ | 5.5¢ | -$14 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $50 | 6.5¢ | 3.6¢ | -$22 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 7.5¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 12¢ | 7.0¢ | -$18 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $18 | 45¢ | 59¢ | +$5 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $15 | 1.5¢ | 2.0¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.7¢ | 2.3¢ | -$1 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 18¢ | 8.5¢ | -$7 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 8.0¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 9.0¢ | 2.4¢ | -$7 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.0¢ | 17¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $13 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$11 |
Will Biden finish his term?Politics | NoResolved | $66 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$66 |
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Politics | YesResolved | $129 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$129 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $21 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $2 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $37 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$37 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $908 | 6.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$908 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Economy | NoResolved | $26 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Trump out as President by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 18?Finance | UpResolved | $121 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$121 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $56 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $92 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$92 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?Finance | DownResolved | $0 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $151 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$151 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $111 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?Finance | DownResolved | $7 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?Economy | NoResolved | $102 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$102 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27?Finance | UpResolved | $83 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $122 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$122 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Politics | NoResolved | $39 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will someone else be inaugurated?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?Finance | DownResolved | $18 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $17 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $483 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$483 |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
X banned in U.K. by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $245 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$245 |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $45 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Finance | NoResolved | $60 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Politics | NoResolved | $1.1K | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $68 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
US strike on Cuba by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $41 | 5.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |