← Whale Watch

v1notlost

Predicting since Jul 2022261 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.6K on Finance markets since Jul 2022.

Right now: $1.1K riding on Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?.

Biggest hit: +$3.1K on S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$20714¢20¢+$87
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyYes$34116¢12¢-$89
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$16911¢8.5¢-$39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsYes$2506.2¢3.1¢-$125
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?PoliticsYes$12012¢12¢-$3
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoYes$1133.2¢2.6¢-$19
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$591.9¢2.8¢+$26
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$1139.4¢6.5¢-$35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$10251¢31¢-$40
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsYes$1018.5¢5.2¢-$40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$3535¢44¢+$9
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$248.0¢14¢+$17
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?PoliticsYes$535.2¢3.7¢-$15
US military draft authorized in 2026?PoliticsYes$445.5¢4.3¢-$9
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?PoliticsYes$10811¢3.6¢-$73
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsYes$477.8¢5.5¢-$14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$506.5¢3.6¢-$22
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$267.5¢7.5¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4312¢7.0¢-$18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1845¢59¢+$5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$151.5¢2.0¢+$5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$82.7¢2.3¢-$1
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1318¢8.5¢-$7
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$28.0¢17¢+$2
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?PoliticsYes$99.0¢2.4¢-$7
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$15.0¢17¢+$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$131.1¢0.1¢-$11
Will Biden finish his term?PoliticsNoResolved$6614¢0.0¢-$66
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$1295.6¢0.0¢-$129
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$2110.0¢0.0¢-$21
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$23.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$83.3¢0.0¢-$8
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$193.8¢0.0¢-$19
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$111.9¢0.0¢-$11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$370.6¢0.0¢-$37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$32.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?CryptoYesResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$87.9¢0.0¢-$8
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?PoliticsYesResolved$93.6¢0.0¢-$9
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$221.1¢0.0¢-$22
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$223.1¢0.0¢-$22
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$99.0¢0.0¢-$9
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24.7¢0.0¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$9086.8¢0.0¢-$908
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?EconomyNoResolved$260.6¢0.0¢-$26
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$270.9¢0.0¢-$27
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$59.3¢0.0¢-$5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$163.1¢0.0¢-$16
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 18?FinanceUpResolved$12171¢0.0¢-$121
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$5618¢0.0¢-$56
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$926.1¢0.0¢-$92
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$131.1¢0.0¢-$13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?FinanceDownResolved$01.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$15111¢0.0¢-$151
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1113.6¢0.0¢-$111
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?FinanceDownResolved$70.4¢0.0¢-$7
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?EconomyNoResolved$10271¢0.0¢-$102
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27?FinanceUpResolved$8366¢0.0¢-$83
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1228.7¢0.0¢-$122
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$52.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$202.6¢0.0¢-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$244.4¢0.0¢-$24
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$393.0¢0.0¢-$39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$102.1¢0.0¢-$10
Will someone else be inaugurated?PoliticsYesResolved$132.4¢0.0¢-$13
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$331.8¢0.0¢-$33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?FinanceDownResolved$1867¢0.0¢-$18
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$174.9¢0.0¢-$17
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?CryptoYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$171.2¢0.0¢-$17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?PoliticsYesResolved$109.2¢0.0¢-$10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$150.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?PoliticsYesResolved$241.9¢0.0¢-$24
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$81.9¢0.0¢-$8
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$98.6¢0.0¢-$9
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$4832.2¢0.0¢-$483
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1530¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$161.1¢0.0¢-$16
X banned in U.K. by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2452.8¢0.0¢-$245
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$453.0¢0.0¢-$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?FinanceNoResolved$6080¢0.0¢-$60
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?PoliticsYesResolved$4242¢0.0¢-$42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$52.4¢0.0¢-$5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K33¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$50.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$90.9¢0.0¢-$9
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$684.2¢0.0¢-$68
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$423.7¢0.0¢-$42
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$91.7¢0.0¢-$9
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$142.3¢0.0¢-$14
US strike on Cuba by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$415.1¢0.0¢-$41

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance+$3.6K
Politics-$1.7K
Crypto-$1.1K
Other-$639
Economy-$435
World Cup-$237
Culture-$2
Biggest hit
+$3.1K
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?
Toughest beat
-$778
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?$114d ago
  • Bought Yes · European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?$94d ago
  • Sold Yes · US recession by end of 2026?$444d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$57d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$267d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$07d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$07d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$07d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$07d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$07d ago
  • Bought Yes · Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?$07d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$367d ago