Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $645 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$9 |
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | No | $534 | 97¢ | 94¢ | -$17 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $590 | 92¢ | 76¢ | -$103 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $425 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$12 |
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $374 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $321 | 47¢ | 54¢ | +$42 |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $292 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $198 | 67¢ | 89¢ | +$63 |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $208 | 73¢ | 89¢ | +$46 |
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | No | $313 | 80¢ | 64¢ | -$62 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $429 | 39¢ | 23¢ | -$182 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $212 | 69¢ | 79¢ | +$29 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $240 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $239 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $237 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $225 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Economy | No | $226 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $203 | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$18 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $276 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$55 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?Culture | No | $217 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?Finance | No | $213 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $193 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $217 | 44¢ | 39¢ | -$27 |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $156 | 52¢ | 63¢ | +$32 |
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 10?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 1.0¢ | 100¢ | +$180 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $175 | 38¢ | 35¢ | -$16 |
Will Solana reach $200 in September?Crypto | No | $148 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $198 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$51 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $117 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$15 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $119 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $69 | 24¢ | 42¢ | +$52 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $145 | 41¢ | 35¢ | -$24 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $109 | 79¢ | 75¢ | -$6 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $128 | 48¢ | 39¢ | -$26 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | No | $186 | 59¢ | 32¢ | -$87 |
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $94 | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $96 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$4 |
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $91 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $85 | 100¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $76 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $75 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | No | $66 | 85¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $72 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Tech | No | $64 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Tech | No | $68 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?Culture | No | $37 | 52¢ | 97¢ | +$31 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $50 | 45¢ | 62¢ | +$18 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $56 | 45¢ | 53¢ | +$10 |
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?Culture | No | $65 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $61 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $59 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 63¢ | 92¢ | +$18 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $59 | 95¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $56 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $57 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $73 | 27¢ | 22¢ | -$16 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 11?Weather | No | $54 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $57 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $57 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$1 |
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $57 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Tech | No | $59 | 99¢ | 93¢ | -$4 |
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $54 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | Yes | $92 | 46¢ | 27¢ | -$39 |
Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $64 | 91¢ | 75¢ | -$12 |
Will paiN Gaming Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2eSports | No | $50 | 100¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
Will Billie Eilish be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $49 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $49 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $47 | 81¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
Will Ariana Grande be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $49 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $512,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $48 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Justin Bieber be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $49 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Bad Bunny be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Culture | No | $49 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will BSW win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $48 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Politics | No | $49 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 56¢ | 90¢ | +$18 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $48 | 98¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $48 | 99¢ | 95¢ | -$2 |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Politics | No | $45 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $47 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $47 | 100¢ | 98¢ | -$1 |
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $44 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Bundesliga | No | $46 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $34 | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$11 |
Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $49 | 50¢ | 46¢ | -$4 |
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $46 | 97¢ | 95¢ | -$1 |
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $45 | 93¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 11?Weather | No | $44 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $44 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?Politics | No | $6 | 13¢ | 99¢ | +$38 |
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Politics | No | $43 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $44 | 91¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?Politics | No | $43 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $43 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Weather | No | $47 | 88¢ | 81¢ | -$4 |
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Politics | No | $43 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |