 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $55 | 86¢ | 80¢ | -$4 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $44 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $27 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $10 | 12¢ | 22¢ | +$9 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $20 | 21¢ | 21¢ | -$0 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $14 | 52¢ | 64¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $25 | 77¢ | 52¢ | -$8 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 8.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 92¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $10 | 15¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $8 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $6 | 57¢ | 75¢ | +$2 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 61¢ | 64¢ | +$0 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$0 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $5 | 44¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $5 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $5 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $4 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 66¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 30¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $1 | 15¢ | 48¢ | +$2 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 92¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 28¢ | 81¢ | +$2 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 72¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 36¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 93¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$0 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 51¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 21¢ | 21¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 76¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 13¢ | 16¢ | +$0 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$0 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1 | 8.0¢ | 7.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $2 | 52¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $39 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
 Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $22 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $48 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$48 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 98¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $2 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $51 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$51 |
| Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $12 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Sold Yes · Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$517m ago
Sold Yes · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$41h ago