 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 8.5¢ | 6.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $26 | 7.8¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $27 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$10 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 8.2¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$2 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 4.0¢ | 4.7¢ | +$1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 7.0¢ | +$0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 12¢ | 5.5¢ | -$7 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$16 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 18¢ | 38¢ | +$3 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 1.0¢ | 0.4¢ | -$9 |
 Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Economy | Yes | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.4¢ | +$0 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 6.8¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 10¢ | 10¢ | +$0 |
 Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.5¢ | +$1 |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
 Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $2 | 35¢ | 40¢ | +$0 |
 Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | +$0 |
 Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 5.5¢ | 6.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.4¢ | 3.9¢ | +$0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.2¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $0 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Israel Election: New Economic Party & Amcha Yisrael Run on Same List?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |