← Whale Watch

jesse.n533n

Predicting since Jan 2026408 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$28738¢33¢-$41
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$566.9¢4.5¢-$20
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$386.6¢4.4¢-$13
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$353.4¢1.5¢-$20
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$1816¢12¢-$4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$105.8¢3.6¢-$4
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?PoliticsYes$58.6¢10¢+$1
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?PoliticsYes$58.0¢5.1¢-$2
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?EconomyYes$544¢27¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsYes$425¢14¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$425¢13¢-$2
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$530¢12¢-$3
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?PoliticsYes$28.0¢7.8¢-$0
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?FinanceYesResolved$104.2¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1PM ETCryptoUpResolved$345¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 8PM ETCryptoUpResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 1AM ETCryptoUpResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$013¢0.0¢-$0
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$149¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - January 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$142¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?PoliticsYesResolved$12.7¢0.0¢-$1
US strike on Colombia by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$323.8¢0.0¢-$32
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the July interest rate announcement?EconomyYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$140¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$255¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 11AM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2527¢0.0¢-$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
US strike on Mexico by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$113.8¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - January 14, 4PM ETCryptoUpResolved$139¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$348¢0.0¢-$3
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$312¢0.0¢-$3
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1461¢0.0¢-$14
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$25.0¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 6PM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$144¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Trump out as President by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1462.3¢0.0¢-$146
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$337¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 5AM ETCryptoUpResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?FinanceYesResolved$253¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?PoliticsYesResolved$82.9¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$165¢0.0¢-$1
Solana Up or Down - January 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$035¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ETCryptoUpResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 4PM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
XRP Up or Down - February 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 2AM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$32.9¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 8PM ETCryptoUpResolved$176¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$167¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 7PM ETCryptoUpResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 11PM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?FinanceYesResolved$235¢0.0¢-$2
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$152¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$145¢0.0¢-$1
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?EconomyYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?PoliticsYesResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 6PM ETCryptoDownResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$23.4¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$166¢0.0¢-$1
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$11519¢0.0¢-$115
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$43.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?FinanceYesResolved$213¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11PM ETCryptoUpResolved$118¢0.0¢-$1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$02.0¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$141¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$350¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$151¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$147¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$133¢0.0¢-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$2412¢0.0¢-$24
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$251¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$228¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$015¢0.0¢-$0
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$250¢0.0¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$8415¢0.0¢-$84

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$308
Crypto-$59
Finance-$40
Economy-$30
Mentions+$0
Biggest hit
+$245
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$768d ago
  • Bought Yes · Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$31mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$31mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?$21mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$151mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$171mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$51mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$101mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Starmer out by June 22, 2026?$91mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Starmer out by June 22, 2026?$51mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?$211mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$321mo ago