 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 48¢ | 73¢ | +$7 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $15 | 66¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $15 | 76¢ | 98¢ | +$4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $6 | 15¢ | 41¢ | +$11 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 85¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $15 | 74¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 84¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $14 | 46¢ | 51¢ | +$2 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 85¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 71¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $15 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $15 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | No | $15 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?Politics | Yes | $15 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Kash Patel out by September 30?Politics | No | $14 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Tech | Yes | $14 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 60¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
 Obama divorce before 2027?Politics | No | $15 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 52¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $15 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $14 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $15 | 89¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $14 | 82¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $13 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Politics | No | $7 | 41¢ | 70¢ | +$5 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | Yes | $7 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$5 |
 Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 59¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Politics | Yes | $7 | 31¢ | 45¢ | +$3 |
 Will César Aurelio Rodríguez Valderrama win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 8.0¢ | 12¢ | +$3 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $14 | 93¢ | 69¢ | -$4 |
 Will SER hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 29¢ | 40¢ | +$3 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Politics | Yes | $7 | 66¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?Politics | No | $10 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | Yes | $7 | 23¢ | 32¢ | +$3 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 95¢ | 67¢ | -$4 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Politics | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 55¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 44¢ | +$2 |
 Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 52¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
 FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 7.0¢ | 8.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Julio Cesar win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 8.0¢ | 9.8¢ | +$2 |
 Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?Politics | No | $7 | 73¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 10¢ | 12¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mary Duniam win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Politics | No | $7 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 45¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 48¢ | 55¢ | +$1 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?Economy | No | $7 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $9 | 53¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Will Union Centriste have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Politics | No | $7 | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 37¢ | +$1 |
 Will Russell Yaxley win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?Politics | No | $7 | 55¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 57¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
 Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno?Politics | No | $8 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
| Will SER hold 62-64 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $7 | 67¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ida Eriksson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Politics | No | $7 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 32¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $7 | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $8 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 24¢ | 25¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
 Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 60¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | No | $7 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
 Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Politics | Yes | $8 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 48¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7 | 79¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 26¢ | 13¢ | -$8 |
 Will Ron Cannan win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Politics | No | $7 | 42¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
 Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?Politics | No | $7 | 65¢ | 64¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | Yes | $7 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $7 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | No | $7 | 72¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will Capitão Contar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 58¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | Yes | $7 | 36¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | Yes | $7 | 62¢ | 57¢ | -$1 |
 Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Politics | Yes | $7 | 38¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?Politics | No | $7 | 77¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ondřej Talíř be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Politics | No | $7 | 98¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
Bought Yes · Will Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election?$818h ago
Bought Yes · Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?$822h ago
Sold Yes · Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%?$71d ago