← Whale Watch

Donny.T

Predicting since Oct 2025757 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $13K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $23K riding on Will Russia invade another country in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$23K86¢92¢+$1.6K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$22K86¢92¢+$1.3K
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$15K87¢91¢+$663
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$11K91¢94¢+$316
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$10K89¢90¢+$79
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$7.6K95¢96¢+$137
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?PoliticsYes$6.0K90¢96¢+$405
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$4.1K90¢93¢+$115
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$3.8K91¢92¢+$49
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$3.6K84¢88¢+$138
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$3.1K83¢86¢+$111
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2.6K84¢90¢+$189
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K85¢90¢+$141
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2.2K80¢82¢+$48
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.7K60¢63¢+$61
Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$1.7K92¢96¢+$62
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.6K79¢81¢+$31
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.2K85¢93¢+$107
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?PoliticsYes$1.2K92¢94¢+$25
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.3K73¢69¢-$83
Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.1K86¢89¢+$34
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$94589¢93¢+$40
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$71873¢78¢+$54
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$68024¢24¢-$5
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$55071¢84¢+$96
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$43372¢88¢+$92
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$39880¢86¢+$30
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsNo$37375¢86¢+$54
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?PoliticsNo$38394¢94¢+$1
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?PoliticsNo$37087¢90¢+$12
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$25161¢89¢+$112
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? PoliticsNo$28580¢92¢+$40
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$27774¢84¢+$34
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?PoliticsNo$28586¢91¢+$16
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$24080¢86¢+$17
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$23023¢26¢+$25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?PoliticsYes$22473¢81¢+$22
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsNo$22690¢89¢-$3
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?PoliticsNo$20182¢87¢+$13
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?PoliticsNo$19578¢84¢+$14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$19888¢91¢+$5
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?PoliticsNo$16884¢79¢-$11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$16382¢78¢-$8
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?PoliticsYes$7738¢67¢+$56
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?PoliticsYes$14164¢55¢-$20
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9687¢91¢+$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$8585¢93¢+$8
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8383¢89¢+$6
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?PoliticsYes$8588¢92¢+$3
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsYes$7979¢88¢+$9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$7886¢92¢+$5
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$515.3¢8.1¢+$27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8682¢68¢-$15
Will Oleg Melnichenko win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$5282¢95¢+$8
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?PoliticsYes$7474¢59¢-$15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$5176¢89¢+$8
Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$4782¢94¢+$7
Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$4583¢96¢+$7
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?PoliticsNo$4382¢88¢+$3
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?PoliticsNo$4488¢89¢+$0
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$4578¢76¢-$1
Russia coup attempt in 2026?PoliticsNo$4288¢93¢+$2
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3480¢94¢+$6
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsNo$3890¢85¢-$2
Will The Left win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$3181¢86¢+$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2576¢89¢+$4
Will Alexey Russkikh win the next Ulyanovsk Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$1983¢97¢+$3
Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?PoliticsNo$2086¢92¢+$1
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$2088¢94¢+$1
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$1458¢81¢+$6
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2525¢20¢-$5
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1786¢91¢+$1
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$1559¢68¢+$2
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?PoliticsNo$1672¢76¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$1278¢91¢+$2
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1616¢13¢-$4
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1364¢51¢-$3
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$987¢93¢+$1
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$987¢97¢+$1
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsYes$1095¢97¢+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$1095¢97¢+$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?PoliticsNo$989¢95¢+$1
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1068¢63¢-$1
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$989¢93¢+$0
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?PoliticsNo$657¢92¢+$3
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsNo$781¢77¢-$0
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?PoliticsNo$693¢97¢+$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?PoliticsNo$576¢91¢+$1
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$479¢93¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$595¢98¢+$0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?PoliticsNo$482¢97¢+$1
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$481¢95¢+$1
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$362¢69¢+$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?PoliticsNo$328¢33¢+$0
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$110¢36¢+$2
NATO article 5 before 2027?PoliticsNo$383¢92¢+$0
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?PoliticsNo$281¢90¢+$0
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$21.4¢1.6¢+$0
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$53476¢0.3¢-$532
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$275¢56¢-$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$13K
Crypto+$804
Finance+$445
Tech+$34
Weather+$30
World Cup-$19
Culture-$1
Other sports+$0
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.0K
US strike on Mexico by January 31?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$29h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$211h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?$2011h ago
  • Sold No · US takes Panama Canal before 2027?$912h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?$2613h ago
  • Sold No · Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?$15616h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?$1516h ago
  • Sold No · Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$6019h ago
  • Sold No · Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$4621h ago
  • Sold No · Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?$2921h ago
  • Sold No · US takes Panama Canal before 2027?$121h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$923h ago