← Whale Watch

vbm

Predicting since Jun 20243,406 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.1K on Politics markets since Jun 2024.

Right now: $607 across 11 Crypto markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsNo$31066¢90¢+$113
US x China Military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$26990¢96¢+$18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePoliticsNo$26087¢87¢-$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$23590¢95¢+$11
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$22088¢96¢+$18
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$19284¢92¢+$18
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$16574¢90¢+$34
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$16185¢94¢+$17
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$14576¢90¢+$26
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$14691¢96¢+$7
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?PoliticsNo$12086¢89¢+$4
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$11691¢96¢+$5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$11495¢97¢+$3
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?PoliticsNo$8045¢64¢+$33
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$10986¢85¢-$1
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechNo$9687¢96¢+$9
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?TechNo$9482¢90¢+$9
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$10783¢79¢-$5
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$9764¢66¢+$2
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?PoliticsNo$9393¢96¢+$3
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$8585¢93¢+$8
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?PoliticsYes$9393¢92¢-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$9191¢92¢+$1
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?PoliticsNo$9191¢90¢-$1
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$8595¢97¢+$2
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$7785¢94¢+$8
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?PoliticsNo$7282¢92¢+$8
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?PoliticsNo$8686¢72¢-$15
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?Other sportsYes$6999¢97¢-$1
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?CryptoYes$8191¢75¢-$14
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$6593¢94¢+$1
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$6495¢96¢+$1
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$6094¢92¢-$2
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$8190¢62¢-$25
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$4981¢93¢+$7
China x Japan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$5287¢93¢+$3
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechNo$4169¢93¢+$14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4879¢88¢+$5
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4247¢56¢+$9
Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$4886¢89¢+$1
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5578¢71¢-$5
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?EconomyNo$4283¢98¢+$7
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?PoliticsNo$4794¢97¢+$2
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$4692¢97¢+$3
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$4794¢96¢+$1
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?PoliticsNo$4692¢96¢+$2
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$4693¢97¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$7290¢58¢-$26
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$4589¢93¢+$2
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$5873¢57¢-$13
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?PoliticsNo$4591¢91¢-$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?PoliticsNo$4283¢87¢+$2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$3468¢86¢+$9
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3794¢96¢+$1
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$3691¢92¢+$0
Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$3793¢92¢-$1
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureNo$3285¢98¢+$5
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$3588¢88¢+$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$3691¢88¢-$1
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$3383¢87¢+$1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsNo$3285¢89¢+$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$3076¢83¢+$3
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3091¢93¢+$1
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$2893¢95¢+$1
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2996¢94¢-$1
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?TechNo$2893¢94¢+$0
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2268¢83¢+$5
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2790¢92¢+$0
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?EconomyNo$2995¢91¢-$1
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?PoliticsNo$3059¢55¢-$2
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?PoliticsNo$2686¢91¢+$1
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$2685¢91¢+$2
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$4381¢50¢-$17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2481¢89¢+$2
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?PoliticsNo$2688¢87¢-$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$214.2¢5.1¢+$4
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?PoliticsNo$2651¢49¢-$1
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?PoliticsNo$2273¢69¢-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2098¢98¢+$0
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?PoliticsNo$2841¢28¢-$9
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1892¢97¢+$1
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?PoliticsNo$1994¢95¢+$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?TechNo$1996¢95¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the ID-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$1996¢94¢-$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?FinanceNo$1892¢91¢-$0
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1890¢90¢+$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?TechNo$1993¢90¢-$1
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?PoliticsNo$2066¢60¢-$2
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?CryptoNo$1995¢86¢-$2
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?PoliticsYes$1653¢51¢-$1
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsNo$1472¢76¢+$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$1888¢74¢-$3
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$1889¢72¢-$3
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?PoliticsNo$1494¢97¢+$0
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?EconomyNo$1785¢70¢-$3
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?PoliticsNo$1471¢69¢-$0
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? PoliticsNo$1291¢92¢+$0
Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?CryptoNo$1380¢68¢-$2
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1096¢96¢-$0
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$992¢95¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$1.1K
Soccer (other)-$445
Tech-$207
Mentions-$173
Other sports+$160
Cricket-$146
Weather-$124
Finance-$119
Basketball (other)-$108
Economy-$86
Culture+$65
NBA-$58
Biggest hit
+$279
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Toughest beat
-$930
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$12d ago
  • Sold No · Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?$84d ago
  • Sold No · Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?$204d ago
  • Sold No · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$204d ago
  • Bought No · Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$610d ago
  • Bought No · Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?$1110d ago
  • Bought No · Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?$310d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$910d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1110d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1210d ago