 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | Yes | $539 | 35¢ | 55¢ | +$307 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Politics | No | $170 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$9 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $55 | 28¢ | 59¢ | +$62 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | Yes | $60 | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$7 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 69¢ | 87¢ | +$10 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $30 | 59¢ | 93¢ | +$17 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $40 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$5 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $26 | 52¢ | 87¢ | +$17 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 58¢ | 86¢ | +$14 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$7 |
 Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 37¢ | +$20 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | Yes | $40 | 40¢ | 36¢ | -$4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 36¢ | 67¢ | +$15 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 29¢ | +$9 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $34 | 67¢ | 57¢ | -$5 |
| Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $15 | 14¢ | 19¢ | +$6 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | Yes | $24 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 71¢ | 92¢ | +$4 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 22¢ | 36¢ | +$7 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $28 | 55¢ | 32¢ | -$12 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Politics | Yes | $6 | 56¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 71¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 66¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 UK Recession in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 73¢ | 90¢ | +$2 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 85¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 66¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 46¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 55¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 62¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 68¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 36¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $31 | 62¢ | 12¢ | -$25 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $33 | 65¢ | 12¢ | -$27 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 73¢ | 50¢ | -$2 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 47¢ | 46¢ | -$0 |
 US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by September 30?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 83¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 32¢ | 7.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 6.5¢ | -$2 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 71¢ | 30¢ | -$4 |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $2 | 26¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
| Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 5.7¢ | 3.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 63¢ | 13¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $6 | 58¢ | 12¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $5 | 47¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $6 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
 Will Trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by July 17?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 90¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Economy | YesResolved | $26 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?Economy | YesResolved | $14 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Arooj Shah win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $43 | 85¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $9 | 87¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%?Economy | YesResolved | $39 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $8 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Finance | NoResolved | $32 | 64¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?Economy | YesResolved | $6 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Cashed out No · Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?$1010d ago