 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Politics | Yes | $539 | 35¢ | 43¢ | +$121 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Politics | Yes | $425 | 29¢ | 42¢ | +$187 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Politics | No | $170 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$21 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy | Yes | $39 | 20¢ | 50¢ | +$61 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $86 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $55 | 28¢ | 33¢ | +$11 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Economy | Yes | $42 | 15¢ | 21¢ | +$17 |
 Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Economy | Yes | $42 | 30¢ | 40¢ | +$14 |
| Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?Economy | Yes | $41 | 30¢ | 34¢ | +$5 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $41 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$3 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $42 | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $40 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $36 | 72¢ | 83¢ | +$5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $35 | 69¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $30 | 59¢ | 77¢ | +$9 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $14 | 16¢ | 41¢ | +$23 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Economy | Yes | $26 | 52¢ | 73¢ | +$11 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $28 | 55¢ | 71¢ | +$8 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $26 | 52¢ | 70¢ | +$9 |
 Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $15 | 14¢ | 31¢ | +$18 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 60¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 31¢ | +$11 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Economy | Yes | $17 | 34¢ | 60¢ | +$13 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $20 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$8 |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $17 | 17¢ | 22¢ | +$5 |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?Economy | Yes | $6 | 6.0¢ | 20¢ | +$14 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $31 | 62¢ | 38¢ | -$12 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 71¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 22¢ | 29¢ | +$4 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 32¢ | 26¢ | -$3 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $6 | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 74¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Politics | Yes | $9 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?Politics | Yes | $9 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 45¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 75¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 85¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 63¢ | 90¢ | +$3 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 79¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 81¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 71¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Daniel Vilela win the Governor of Goiás election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $8 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 70¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
| Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0% and 0.1%?Economy | Yes | $14 | 27¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
 UK Recession in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 73¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 52¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
| Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 54¢ | 81¢ | +$3 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 66¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 72¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $8 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 59¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 71¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $7 | 73¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Economy | Yes | $9 | 19¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5 | 47¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Economy | No | $7 | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 43¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 67¢ | -$0 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 88¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Politics | Yes | $6 | 56¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 46¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 47¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $7 | 66¢ | 62¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7 | 65¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
Bought Yes · Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$417h ago
Cashed out Yes · Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$4919h ago