 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $1.5K | 75¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $496 | 25¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $218 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $117 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Other | YesResolved | $84 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $56 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Culture | No | $48 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Politics | No | $45 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $41 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $39 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $39 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $35 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $30 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $24 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $23 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $22 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $22 | 89¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $22 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | No | $19 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $17 | 62¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 27¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Politics | No | $17 | 99¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Trump goes to space in 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $16 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $12 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $11 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 28¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Indiana lions in custody by September 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET?Culture | NoResolved | $10 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 7.2¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.6¢ | 7.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 92¢ | -$0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Tech | No | $5 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 92¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $5 | 89¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?Politics | Yes | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?eSports | NoResolved | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?eSports | YesResolved | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Soccer (other) | No | $5 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 2 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?eSports | NoResolved | $4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $2 | 34¢ | 63¢ | +$2 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 90¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Politics | Yes | $4 | 72¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Politics | No | $6 | 19¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$0 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Politics | Yes | $3 | 54¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.0¢ | 3.3¢ | +$0 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 11¢ | 8.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 7.5¢ | -$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $3 | 2.6¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 23¢ | 12¢ | -$2 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.1¢ | 3.6¢ | +$0 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $1 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -$0 |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?Culture | NoResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |