← Whale Watch

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Predicting since Jan 20211,270 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $24K on Politics markets since Jan 2021.

Right now: $6.6K riding on Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?.

Biggest hit: +$20K on Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$6.6K91¢97¢+$388
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?PoliticsNo$4.5K95¢98¢+$130
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.9K84¢95¢+$377
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$2.8K75¢72¢-$104
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$2.5K55¢57¢+$98
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.5K94¢96¢+$67
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.3K90¢95¢+$126
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K88¢96¢+$185
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.7K63¢81¢+$460
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K63¢66¢+$55
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.5K86¢95¢+$151
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K85¢91¢+$82
SBF released from custody in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K90¢95¢+$69
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$1.4K55¢52¢-$78
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.2K89¢92¢+$41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.7K46¢33¢-$499
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K89¢95¢+$70
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.0K86¢93¢+$76
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$85850¢63¢+$205
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$88674¢88¢+$164
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$92488¢97¢+$100
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?CultureYes$77559¢75¢+$199
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.0K84¢80¢-$39
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$81081¢93¢+$121
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$83162¢68¢+$72
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$83490¢96¢+$63
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$86887¢88¢+$7
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$77886¢96¢+$83
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$83596¢98¢+$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$86486¢84¢-$29
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$86086¢84¢-$25
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$65181¢93¢+$89
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$56180¢95¢+$101
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$44163¢77¢+$95
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$44789¢99¢+$50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$20133¢83¢+$294
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$46092¢96¢+$20
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?PoliticsNo$45090¢94¢+$20
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$47595¢92¢-$15
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$25937¢63¢+$178
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$31853¢68¢+$87
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$48269¢56¢-$87
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?PoliticsNo$17243¢98¢+$222
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$25263¢95¢+$130
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$29058¢67¢+$43
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$35625¢24¢-$25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$27692¢97¢+$14
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$26789¢94¢+$14
NATO article 5 before 2027?PoliticsNo$27090¢93¢+$7
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$23779¢89¢+$29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsYes$21035¢41¢+$33
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?CultureNo$23094¢95¢+$2
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$15050¢67¢+$49
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsYes$18446¢48¢+$8
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$16784¢95¢+$23
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$19195¢95¢-$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$15276¢95¢+$37
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$16884¢95¢+$21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$17483¢88¢+$9
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$40267¢28¢-$231
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNo$14171¢74¢+$6
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoYes$2299.5¢5.6¢-$95
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?PoliticsYes$14325¢20¢-$33
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?TechYes$8282¢97¢+$15
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsYes$13233¢23¢-$40
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$3536¢85¢+$49
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?PoliticsYes$27321¢6.5¢-$189
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$16817¢6.5¢-$103
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$21023¢6.5¢-$151
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$21636¢8.5¢-$165
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$5528¢14¢-$26
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoNo$5556¢24¢-$32
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$281.4¢1.1¢-$5
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$1866¢81¢+$4
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$442.2¢1.1¢-$23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$189.0¢7.5¢-$3
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3015¢7.0¢-$16
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$71.3¢2.4¢+$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$1669.2¢0.7¢-$154
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$926¢29¢+$1
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$91.5¢1.6¢+$0
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$172.1¢0.1¢-$16
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AeSportsPARIVISIONResolved$5025¢0.0¢-$50
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$72.1¢0.0¢-$7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1)eSportsPARIVISIONResolved$4462¢0.0¢-$44
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 22-28 be less than 17,500,000?PoliticsYesResolved$24.8¢0.0¢-$2
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular SeasoneSportsKarmine Corp BlueResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$24430¢0.0¢-$244
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey BaptisteTennisSamsonovaResolved$22055¢0.0¢-$220
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)eSportsFURIAResolved$13834¢0.0¢-$138
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$47813¢0.0¢-$478
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)eSportsAstralisResolved$7638¢0.0¢-$76
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$15652¢0.0¢-$156
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? PoliticsYesResolved$6521¢0.0¢-$65
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3)eSportsAurora GamingResolved$10480¢0.0¢-$104
Devils vs. BruinsNHLDevilsResolved$15953¢0.0¢-$159
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$31359¢0.0¢-$313
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?Soccer (other)NoResolved$46046¢0.0¢-$460
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?CryptoYesResolved$919.1¢0.0¢-$91
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3)eSportsUltra PrimeResolved$39156¢0.0¢-$391

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$24K
Culture-$6.5K
NHL-$5.6K
NBA-$5.1K
eSports-$3.2K
Other sports+$2.5K
Basketball (other)+$2.3K
Tennis-$2.2K
Premier League+$2.0K
Finance-$1.6K
Crypto+$1.5K
Soccer (other)+$1.4K
Biggest hit
+$20K
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Toughest beat
-$2.3K
Andrew Tate arrested in August?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$10118h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$2518h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$718h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$7671d ago
  • Bought No · US strike on Cuba by December 31?$3961d ago
  • Sold Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$9692d ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$7993d ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$93d ago
  • Bought No · US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$13d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$453d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$53d ago