← Whale Watch

LASJD2N

Predicting since Jan 20263,179 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.1K on eSports markets since Jan 2026.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$10083¢95¢+$14
Palermo: Clara Burel vs Federica UrgesiTennisFederica UrgesiResolved$6033¢50¢+$31
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$3236¢40¢+$3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$22.0¢32¢+$26
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2486¢99¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBANo$1463¢100¢+$8
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1781¢82¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$1065¢100¢+$6
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$1467¢74¢+$1
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$1072¢95¢+$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$1573¢58¢-$3
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?PoliticsNo$1256¢53¢-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1087¢92¢+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$781¢100¢+$2
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$650¢56¢+$1
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$585¢100¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceNo$694¢92¢-$0
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$592¢100¢+$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechNo$589¢100¢+$1
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$556¢56¢+$0
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$750¢38¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?FinanceNo$368¢100¢+$2
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$584¢80¢-$0
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?EconomyNo$564¢63¢-$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$631¢26¢-$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyNo$28.0¢17¢+$2
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$128¢87¢+$3
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$484¢95¢+$0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$487¢91¢+$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?NBANo$487¢87¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$538¢34¢-$1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?EconomyNo$454¢55¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$477¢80¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$675¢47¢-$2
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$467¢64¢-$0
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$260¢96¢+$1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$335¢34¢-$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceNo$493¢84¢-$0
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysMLBTampa Bay Rays$253¢90¢+$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$327¢29¢+$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$339¢38¢-$0
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?EconomyNo$268¢97¢+$1
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?TechNo$358¢49¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?CryptoNo$281¢94¢+$0
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$290¢96¢+$0
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?eSportsNo$294¢98¢+$0
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$288¢90¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$275¢100¢+$1
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsYes$291¢91¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsYes$334¢27¢-$1
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$231¢42¢+$1
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$452¢25¢-$2
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$294¢78¢-$0
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$366¢41¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$155¢87¢+$1
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$294¢94¢+$0
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)MLBChicago Cubs$263¢63¢+$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsNo$289¢87¢-$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$260¢51¢-$0
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsNo$280¢82¢+$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?CultureYes$280¢83¢+$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$143¢62¢+$1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$170¢79¢+$0
San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsMLBMiami Marlins$253¢54¢+$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$158¢75¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?PoliticsYes$190¢94¢+$0
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$261¢56¢-$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$159¢69¢+$0
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$280¢52¢-$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$334¢16¢-$2
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$273¢62¢-$0
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?NBANo$189¢100¢+$0
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?CryptoNo$188¢98¢+$0
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$189¢98¢+$0
Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$193¢95¢+$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$166¢57¢-$0
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$193¢98¢+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$189¢92¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$191¢93¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$144¢44¢-$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsNo$185¢85¢+$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$186¢86¢-$0
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?EconomyNo$186¢79¢-$0
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$179¢79¢+$0
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?CultureNo$181¢78¢-$0
Madrid Open: Panna Udvardy vs Kimberly BirrellTennisKimberly BirrellResolved$138¢0.0¢-$1
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnereSportsEDward GamingResolved$1966¢0.0¢-$19
LoL: Rising Gaming vs Arneb - Game 1 WinnereSportsRising GamingResolved$1960¢0.0¢-$19
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?eSportsOverResolved$1054¢0.0¢-$10
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesMLBPhiladelphia PhilliesResolved$6540¢0.0¢-$65
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5BundesligaUnderResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)La LigaGetafe CFResolved$966¢0.0¢-$9
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnereSportsDplus KIA ChallengersResolved$944¢0.0¢-$9
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Christopher O'ConnellTennisJoel SchwaerzlerResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 WinnereSportsLOUDResolved$461¢0.0¢-$4
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasoneSportsSenshi Esports ClubResolved$270¢0.0¢-$2
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Premier LeagueOverResolved$945¢0.0¢-$9
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5NBAOverResolved$951¢0.0¢-$9
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$6426¢0.0¢-$64
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScorePremier LeagueNoResolved$1040¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

eSports-$4.1K
NBA-$3.8K
World Cup-$2.0K
MLB-$1.6K
Politics-$1.4K
Soccer (other)-$805
Tennis-$650
Premier League-$519
Champions League-$390
Bundesliga-$363
UFC / MMA-$288
Tech-$281
Biggest hit
+$357
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers
Toughest beat
-$404
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Miami Marlins · San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$239m ago
  • Bought No · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$147m ago
  • Bought Chicago Cubs · Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)$255m ago
  • Bought Tampa Bay Rays · Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$21h ago
  • Bought Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$12h ago
  • Bought Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$12h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?$18h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$110h ago
  • Cashed out Texas Rangers · Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers$215h ago
  • Bought Texas Rangers · Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers$120h ago
  • Bought Arizona Diamondbacks · Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)$122h ago
  • Bought Arizona Diamondbacks · Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)$123h ago