← Whale Watch

ligeiwoguolai

Predicting since Aug 20241,934 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $6.9K on Politics markets since Aug 2024.

Right now: $2.2K across 5 Crypto markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.4K on Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$47537¢30¢-$92
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$43835¢30¢-$72
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$28974¢86¢+$45
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$41428¢22¢-$97
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$61922¢10¢-$332
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$14932¢47¢+$65
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$10034¢68¢+$99
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$27928¢20¢-$81
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$23449¢38¢-$54
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?CryptoYes$18074¢45¢-$71
Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$14150¢31¢-$55
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$3130¢74¢+$47
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$5985¢87¢+$1
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?CryptoYes$4794¢90¢-$2
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$3587¢88¢+$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYes$2664¢81¢+$7
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$308.6¢5.5¢-$11
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$3052¢33¢-$11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$3032¢19¢-$13
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$1041¢63¢+$5
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsYes$2019¢13¢-$6
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsYes$204.0¢2.8¢-$6
Haiti elections delayed again?PoliticsYes$538¢99¢+$8
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$1019¢21¢+$1
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?PoliticsYes$1116¢14¢-$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$156.8¢4.8¢-$5
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1091¢94¢+$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechYes$1010¢10¢+$0
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$1059¢57¢-$0
Will Little Joe escape again?CultureYes$94.1¢4.2¢+$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$527¢52¢+$4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1055¢52¢-$1
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$1040¢36¢-$1
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechYes$2043¢19¢-$11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$512¢22¢+$4
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceYes$1116¢13¢-$3
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendeSportsBilibili Gaming$561¢100¢+$3
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1070¢56¢-$2
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$559¢87¢+$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$1047¢34¢-$3
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$1812¢5.0¢-$11
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsNo$1036¢26¢-$3
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoYes$785¢86¢+$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?TechYes$936¢28¢-$2
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$567¢93¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$564¢88¢+$2
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$5848¢5.5¢-$51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$580¢100¢+$1
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$577¢95¢+$1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$520¢25¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$581¢95¢+$1
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$586¢100¢+$1
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$571¢80¢+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$522¢25¢+$1
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoYes$540¢45¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$515¢17¢+$1
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsGen.G$540¢44¢+$1
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsGen.G$546¢51¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$590¢98¢+$0
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1046¢25¢-$5
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?PoliticsYes$1027¢14¢-$5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyNo$519¢21¢+$0
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$593¢99¢+$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$569¢73¢+$0
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsHanwha Life Esports$545¢48¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$563¢67¢+$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$59.0¢9.5¢+$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$548¢51¢+$0
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$553¢54¢+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?TechYes$588¢89¢+$0
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?CultureNo$577¢78¢+$0
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsDplus KIA$537¢37¢-$0
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechYes$576¢74¢-$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsYes$545¢44¢-$0
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsDplus KIA$541¢40¢-$0
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsDplus KIA$535¢34¢-$0
Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?PoliticsYes$535¢34¢-$0
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?PoliticsYes$543¢40¢-$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$569¢62¢-$1
Will Solana reach $90 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$577¢67¢-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$518¢16¢-$1
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$575¢64¢-$1
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?CryptoYes$576¢64¢-$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsYes$543¢34¢-$1
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?PoliticsNo$547¢38¢-$1
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?PoliticsYes$583¢66¢-$1
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?EconomyYes$525¢20¢-$1
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsDN SOOPers$543¢33¢-$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$529¢22¢-$1
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageeSportsNongshim Red Force$545¢34¢-$1
Will Solana reach $100 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$565¢48¢-$1
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?CryptoYes$563¢47¢-$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?PoliticsYes$530¢22¢-$1
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsNo$591¢62¢-$2
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsYes$531¢21¢-$2
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?CryptoYes$10649¢1.5¢-$102
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasoneSportsEi Nerd Esports$550¢32¢-$2
LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasoneSportsRED Academy$551¢30¢-$2
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$554¢31¢-$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?FinanceYes$575¢43¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$6.9K
Crypto-$1.3K
Tech-$1.2K
eSports+$1.1K
Finance+$468
NBA-$350
Olympics+$282
NFL+$243
UFC / MMA-$183
Formula 1+$173
Economy+$120
Other sports+$48
Biggest hit
+$3.4K
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Toughest beat
-$1.1K
TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out ThunderTalk Gaming · LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1017m ago
  • Cashed out ThunderTalk Gaming · LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner$91h ago
  • Cashed out Ninjas in Pyjamas · LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$92h ago
  • Bought ThunderTalk Gaming · LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner$56h ago
  • Bought Bilibili Gaming · LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$512h ago
  • Bought Under · Games Total: O/U 2.5$512h ago
  • Bought ThunderTalk Gaming · LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$512h ago
  • Bought Ninjas in Pyjamas · LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$512h ago
  • Bought DN SOOPers · LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$512h ago
  • Bought Dplus KIA · LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$512h ago
  • Bought Nongshim Red Force · LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$512h ago
  • Bought Dplus KIA · LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$512h ago