← Whale Watch

itsKey

Predicting since Mar 2026450 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$53.4¢51¢+$69
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$1677¢100¢+$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$1064¢88¢+$4
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$1080¢100¢+$2
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1083¢98¢+$2
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$1083¢92¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$567¢97¢+$2
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$565¢87¢+$2
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$684¢89¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$581¢99¢+$1
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?PoliticsNo$569¢83¢+$1
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$580¢90¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$592¢100¢+$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$590¢97¢+$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$590¢97¢+$0
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$594¢98¢+$0
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsNo$595¢99¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$597¢100¢+$0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$590¢92¢+$0
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsNo$566¢68¢+$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$595¢97¢+$0
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$595¢97¢+$0
Will Elon register any party before 2027?PoliticsNo$595¢97¢+$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$593¢95¢+$0
Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$597¢98¢+$0
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$594¢94¢+$0
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$594¢93¢-$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$564¢63¢-$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$596¢93¢-$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$546¢36¢-$1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$525¢18¢-$1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$535¢25¢-$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$524¢17¢-$2
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$53.1¢2.1¢-$2
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?PoliticsYes$54.4¢2.6¢-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoYes$51.1¢0.7¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$533¢19¢-$2
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?PoliticsYes$562¢32¢-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoYes$53.1¢1.5¢-$3
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$530¢13¢-$3
Kash Patel out by December 31?PoliticsYes$578¢32¢-$3
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?CryptoYes$56.0¢2.3¢-$3
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?CryptoYes$50.2¢0.1¢-$4
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?World CupYesResolved$51.1¢0.0¢-$5
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?TechNoResolved$551¢0.0¢-$5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Champions LeagueYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$317¢0.0¢-$3
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?PoliticsYesResolved$578¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsNoResolved$566¢0.0¢-$5
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$542¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$102.0¢0.0¢-$10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$258.4¢0.0¢-$25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$52.5¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$226¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1038¢0.0¢-$10
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?PoliticsNoResolved$1034¢0.0¢-$10
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGermanyResolved$569¢0.0¢-$5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$159.3¢0.0¢-$15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1021¢0.0¢-$10
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMLBArizona DiamondbacksResolved$100.2¢0.0¢-$10
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$58.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?World CupNoResolved$56.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$53.9¢0.0¢-$5
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1030¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$51.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?CryptoYesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?TechYesResolved$52.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$929¢0.0¢-$9
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$579¢0.0¢-$5
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$153.2¢0.0¢-$15
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$219¢0.0¢-$2
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$533¢0.0¢-$5
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?PoliticsYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETCryptoUpResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?CryptoNoResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$101.9¢0.0¢-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-05?World CupNoResolved$563¢0.0¢-$5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado RockiesMLBCincinnati RedsResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNoResolved$56.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$580¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$562¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$512¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?MentionsYesResolved$50.6¢0.0¢-$5
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$577¢0.0¢-$5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?PoliticsYesResolved$52.7¢0.0¢-$5
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoNoResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$140
Mentions+$124
Politics-$56
Tech-$48
MLB-$34
Crypto-$27
Weather-$10
Culture-$10
Tennis+$3
eSports-$2
Champions League-$2
Finance+$2
Biggest hit
+$164
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Toughest beat
-$71
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$514h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$51d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$81d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$61d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$111d ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$51d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$51d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$51d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$51d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$51d ago