← Whale Watch

Legacy.crypto

Predicting since Oct 20251,278 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $2.8K across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.5K96¢99¢+$68
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1.3K90¢83¢-$106
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$69696¢98¢+$11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$46686¢85¢-$10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$37074¢81¢+$33
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsNo$38496¢96¢+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$36661¢63¢+$9
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$37093¢94¢+$4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$36090¢92¢+$6
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$36892¢92¢-$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$30476¢72¢-$16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$27268¢68¢-$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$28047¢42¢-$31
Iran leadership change by August 31?PoliticsNo$18090¢95¢+$9
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$18090¢94¢+$8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$17076¢79¢+$6
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$15075¢80¢+$9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceNo$9696¢97¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$6568¢94¢+$24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$6666¢88¢+$22
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$3867¢97¢+$17
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsYes$3473¢73¢+$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$2892¢95¢+$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$4646¢27¢-$20
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1111¢4.9¢-$6
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12245¢0.0¢-$122
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$255.4¢0.0¢-$25
Comey posts a video message on substack again by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAKhamzat ChimaevResolved$3081¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?MentionsNoResolved$2167¢0.0¢-$21
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16155¢0.0¢-$161
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$729¢0.0¢-$7
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$2461¢0.0¢-$24
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$930¢0.0¢-$9
Will Trump say "N Word" in March?MentionsYesResolved$108.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House Press Briefing?MentionsNoResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (March 29)MentionsNoResolved$1961¢0.0¢-$19
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the FII PRIORITY Summit?MentionsNoResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?CultureNoResolved$1132¢0.0¢-$11
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$727¢0.0¢-$7
Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (March 29)MentionsNoResolved$2660¢0.0¢-$26
Games Total: O/U 3.5eSportsOverResolved$1060¢0.0¢-$10
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$11777¢0.0¢-$117
AWS service disrupted by March 31?TechNoResolved$1476¢0.0¢-$14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10347¢0.0¢-$103
Will England win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$20084¢0.0¢-$200
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$8651¢0.0¢-$86
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2562¢0.0¢-$25
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?MentionsNoResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will Trump say "Tiger" this week? (March 29)MentionsNoResolved$3579¢0.0¢-$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2112¢0.0¢-$21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3324¢0.0¢-$33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10622¢0.0¢-$106
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$179.0¢0.0¢-$17
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)MentionsNoResolved$6332¢0.0¢-$63
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)MentionsNoResolved$14662¢0.0¢-$146
Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?MentionsNoResolved$2584¢0.0¢-$25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23367¢0.0¢-$233
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week? (March 29)MentionsNoResolved$1350¢0.0¢-$13
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?PoliticsNoResolved$2070¢0.0¢-$20
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsNoResolved$4692¢0.0¢-$46
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$7373¢0.0¢-$73
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$625¢0.0¢-$6
US forces enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2010.0¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$930
NFL+$445
eSports+$363
Soccer (other)-$301
Culture-$208
World Cup-$200
Mentions-$200
Finance+$198
Premier League+$183
NHL+$170
La Liga+$143
Tech+$64
Biggest hit
+$375
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Toughest beat
-$258
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$161h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$354h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$184h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$358h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$710h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$2316h ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$2818h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$301d ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$1181d ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by July 31?$2751d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$5121d ago
  • Bought No · Iran leadership change by December 31?$901d ago