US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $72 | 58¢ | 89¢ | +$38 |
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Politics | No | $96 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$2 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $64 | 72¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $55 | 30¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $50 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
| Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $43 | 72¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $48 | 48¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 69¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 44¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $30 | 30¢ | 33¢ | +$3 |
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $28 | 51¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 57¢ | 68¢ | +$4 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Politics | Yes | $24 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $24 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 60¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $21 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?Politics | No | $17 | 68¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $20 | 67¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Politics | Yes | $19 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | No | $11 | 45¢ | 69¢ | +$6 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 81¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 28¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Politics | No | $12 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Politics | No | $14 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $14 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $13 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $14 | 71¢ | 63¢ | -$2 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics | No | $11 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $10 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 92¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $10 | 64¢ | 60¢ | -$1 |
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Politics | Yes | $41 | 26¢ | 5.5¢ | -$32 |
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | No | $7 | 73¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | No | $7 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 70¢ | 62¢ | -$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 59¢ | 58¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Politics | No | $5 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Politics | Yes | $5 | 52¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Politics | No | $6 | 63¢ | 52¢ | -$1 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 52¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 26¢ | -$0 |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 45¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 62¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustPolitics | Nothing | $4 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 96¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | Yes | $4 | 37¢ | 48¢ | +$1 |
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
| Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 69¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?Politics | Yes | $5 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$0 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $2 | 32¢ | 88¢ | +$3 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | Yes | $4 | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 89¢ | 86¢ | -$0 |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Politics | No | $4 | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 83¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?Politics | Yes | $3 | 57¢ | 81¢ | +$1 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Will James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Politics | No | $4 | 75¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 73¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 80¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | No | $3 | 65¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $3 | 69¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 68¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
| Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Politics | No | $4 | 72¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 20¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?Politics | No | $2 | 47¢ | 62¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 42¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 55¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 48¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 37¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 44¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $3 | 58¢ | 47¢ | -$1 |