 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | Yes | $2.6K | 78¢ | 81¢ | +$93 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $2.3K | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$134 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $1.6K | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$51 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $1.6K | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $724 | 79¢ | 78¢ | -$13 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $700 | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$8 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $492 | 62¢ | 55¢ | -$52 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $357 | 56¢ | 64¢ | +$48 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $384 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $392 | 63¢ | 62¢ | -$8 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $317 | 41¢ | 45¢ | +$27 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $337 | 98¢ | 97¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $332 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$2 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $333 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$5 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $294 | 14¢ | 15¢ | +$18 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $308 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Politics | No | $278 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$10 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $263 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $213 | 71¢ | 75¢ | +$12 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $141 | 53¢ | 84¢ | +$80 |
 Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Politics | Yes | $254 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$58 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $194 | 58¢ | 54¢ | -$14 |
 Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics | No | $130 | 76¢ | 95¢ | +$32 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $108 | 51¢ | 62¢ | +$22 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $85 | 56¢ | 84¢ | +$43 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | No | $132 | 84¢ | 81¢ | -$5 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Economy | No | $119 | 93¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | No | $118 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September?Politics | No | $110 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$7 |
 Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Politics | No | $113 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $133 | 25¢ | 21¢ | -$22 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $110 | 16¢ | 15¢ | -$3 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | No | $96 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Politics | No | $89 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $95 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $90 | 89¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
 Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?Politics | Yes | $88 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Otti Alex Chioma win the 2027 Abia State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $88 | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Politics | No | $81 | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$6 |
 Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | No | $88 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $82 | 58¢ | 60¢ | +$3 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $86 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Politics | No | $70 | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$11 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $79 | 75¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Politics | No | $61 | 66¢ | 83¢ | +$16 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?Politics | No | $75 | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$2 |
 Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Politics | Yes | $38 | 30¢ | 60¢ | +$38 |
 Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 73¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
 Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | No | $66 | 86¢ | 98¢ | +$9 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $75 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $86 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$17 |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 74¢ | 87¢ | +$10 |
 France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $67 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $60 | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $73 | 78¢ | 70¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Politics | No | $65 | 65¢ | 65¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $65 | 87¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $131 | 51¢ | 25¢ | -$68 |
 Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $51 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$7 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | Yes | $56 | 70¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $55 | 77¢ | 72¢ | -$4 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $49 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $48 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Politics | No | $44 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $70 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$21 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $43 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $46 | 41¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
 Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Politics | No | $40 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$5 |
 Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?Politics | Yes | $59 | 50¢ | 38¢ | -$14 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 59¢ | 60¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 43¢ | 42¢ | -$2 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?Politics | No | $40 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 29¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $38 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $43 | 43¢ | 38¢ | -$5 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $33 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 76¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $42 | 26¢ | 23¢ | -$6 |
 Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $36 | 51¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Politics | Yes | $24 | 29¢ | 43¢ | +$12 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $48 | 48¢ | 36¢ | -$13 |
 Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $29 | 52¢ | 62¢ | +$6 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $35 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $36 | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $28 | 73¢ | 85¢ | +$4 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 59¢ | 61¢ | +$1 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $30 | 60¢ | 61¢ | +$0 |
 Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Politics | Yes | $29 | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
 Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?Economy | Yes | $32 | 82¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
 Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $19 | 10¢ | 16¢ | +$11 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Politics | No | $31 | 32¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $31 | 31¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece?Politics | Yes | $30 | 80¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Politics | Yes | $27 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Politics | Yes | $29 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $32 | 5.3¢ | 4.5¢ | -$5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $18 | 52¢ | 82¢ | +$10 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Economy | Yes | $28 | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$2 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 71¢ | 70¢ | -$0 |
Bought Yes · Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?$47m ago
Bought Yes · Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?$210m ago
Bought No · Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?$943m ago
Cashed out Yes · Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?$6646m ago
Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?$111h ago