← Whale Watch

filthymudeok

Predicting since Dec 2025235 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.3K on Finance markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $2.9K across 10 Finance markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.2K on Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3019¢18¢-$2
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$306.0¢4.5¢-$8
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?PoliticsYes$2036¢38¢+$1
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsYes$105.2¢4.9¢-$1
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$109.5¢7.9¢-$2
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsNo$1012¢9.5¢-$2
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$1016¢12¢-$3
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsYes$1038¢24¢-$4
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$1016¢9.5¢-$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$1028¢14¢-$5
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?PoliticsYes$102.1¢0.9¢-$6
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsYes$1021¢8.5¢-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?FinanceYes$1040¢7.0¢-$8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?FinanceYes$1023¢4.0¢-$8
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsYes$1041¢5.5¢-$9
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 250M by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$2356.5¢0.0¢-$235
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?PoliticsYesResolved$617¢0.0¢-$6
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of March?FinanceNoResolved$11028¢0.0¢-$110
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1941¢0.0¢-$19
Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$5414¢0.0¢-$54
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?WeatherYesResolved$538¢0.0¢-$5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$2515¢0.0¢-$25
Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$1925¢0.0¢-$19
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?PoliticsYesResolved$2516¢0.0¢-$25
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$3444.7¢0.0¢-$344
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 end of March?FinanceYesResolved$14014¢0.0¢-$140
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of March?FinanceNoResolved$98741¢0.0¢-$987
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of March?FinanceYesResolved$26916¢0.0¢-$269
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?PoliticsYesResolved$1026.9¢0.0¢-$102
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of March?FinanceYesResolved$6215¢0.0¢-$62
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?WeatherNoResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of March?FinanceNoResolved$49237¢0.0¢-$492
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?PoliticsYesResolved$2536¢0.0¢-$25
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 end of March?FinanceYesResolved$11218¢0.0¢-$112
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$143.1¢0.0¢-$14
Will Czechia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$241¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?PoliticsNoResolved$2855¢0.0¢-$28
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$18624¢0.0¢-$186
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in April 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12.1¢0.0¢-$1
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$111.2¢0.0¢-$11
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of March?FinanceNoResolved$65835¢0.0¢-$658
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?WeatherNoResolved$117.5¢0.0¢-$11
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?WeatherYesResolved$430¢0.0¢-$4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?FinanceYesResolved$62.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?WeatherYesResolved$450¢0.0¢-$4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of March?FinanceYesResolved$5818¢0.0¢-$58
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$109.1¢0.0¢-$10

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance-$5.3K
Politics+$674
Weather-$267
Culture-$93
Crypto-$19
Tech-$3
NBA-$1
Soccer (other)+$0
NFL+$0
Biggest hit
+$3.2K
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?
Toughest beat
-$2.5K
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$126h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$121d ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$101d ago
  • Bought No · US x China tariff agreement by December 31?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$102d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$102d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$82d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$103d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$103d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$103d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$123d ago