 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $255 | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$28 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $155 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$23 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $138 | 63¢ | 80¢ | +$38 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $140 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $136 | 83¢ | 87¢ | +$6 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?Politics | No | $117 | 82¢ | 93¢ | +$16 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $122 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$6 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Politics | Yes | $123 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $109 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$12 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $116 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | No | $110 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Politics | No | $98 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Tech | No | $109 | 92¢ | 88¢ | -$5 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $98 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30?Soccer (other) | No | $62 | 40¢ | 63¢ | +$36 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $114 | 87¢ | 74¢ | -$18 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $55 | 53¢ | 85¢ | +$32 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $85 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Politics | No | $77 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $77 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Politics | No | $68 | 84¢ | 98¢ | +$11 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $68 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$11 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $97 | 67¢ | 54¢ | -$19 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Tech | No | $71 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Tech | No | $79 | 71¢ | 70¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $76 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $70 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $81 | 63¢ | 60¢ | -$4 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 59¢ | 73¢ | +$14 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $90 | 84¢ | 70¢ | -$16 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Politics | No | $71 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $73 | 62¢ | 61¢ | -$2 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $68 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $71 | 90¢ | 87¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $60 | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 79¢ | 90¢ | +$8 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $66 | 94¢ | 93¢ | -$1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $88 | 60¢ | 44¢ | -$24 |
 Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 60¢ | 90¢ | +$21 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $57 | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Finance | No | $33 | 55¢ | 99¢ | +$27 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $59 | 71¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
 Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $53 | 89¢ | 97¢ | +$5 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 74¢ | 92¢ | +$11 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Politics | No | $55 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $70 | 83¢ | 66¢ | -$14 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $88 | 55¢ | 35¢ | -$33 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?Finance | No | $48 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $39 | 46¢ | 65¢ | +$15 |
 Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $52 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $37 | 37¢ | 53¢ | +$17 |
 Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Other | Yes | $51 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?Politics | No | $49 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 78¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | Yes | $59 | 65¢ | 56¢ | -$8 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Tech | No | $45 | 81¢ | 91¢ | +$6 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $45 | 86¢ | 95¢ | +$4 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $76 | 54¢ | 35¢ | -$27 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $37 | 68¢ | 90¢ | +$12 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Tech | Yes | $49 | 87¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Tech | No | $40 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$8 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will Arthur Henrique win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $46 | 94¢ | 94¢ | -$0 |
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $45 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$1 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $44 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $24 | 37¢ | 66¢ | +$19 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $35 | 43¢ | 52¢ | +$7 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | No | $41 | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?Politics | Yes | $40 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $43 | 73¢ | 71¢ | -$2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $42 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 41¢ | 51¢ | +$8 |
 Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $10B by December 31?Finance | No | $38 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Politics | No | $34 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $38 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $35 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $53 | 53¢ | 36¢ | -$17 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Politics | No | $40 | 44¢ | 40¢ | -$4 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $13 | 20¢ | 55¢ | +$22 |
 Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | No | $34 | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?Finance | Yes | $29 | 61¢ | 72¢ | +$5 |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 67¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $26 | 67¢ | 86¢ | +$7 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Politics | No | $28 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
 Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?Politics | Yes | $31 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $42 | 50¢ | 38¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | Yes | $32 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $29 | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $30 | 45¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $28 | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $18 | 52¢ | 83¢ | +$11 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $32 | 38¢ | 36¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $45 | 41¢ | 27¢ | -$16 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $37 | 24¢ | 19¢ | -$8 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $27 | 32¢ | 35¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $36 | 45¢ | 36¢ | -$8 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Tech | No | $32 | 54¢ | 48¢ | -$4 |
Sold Yes · Iran Nuke before 2027?$02m ago
Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by September 30?$138m ago
Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?$33h ago
Sold Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?$15h ago
Bought No · Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?$27h ago