← Whale Watch

Slowroasted

Predicting since Oct 20245,530 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.1K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

Right now: $120K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on $PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$60K50¢88¢+$45K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$60K50¢12¢-$45K
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$3.8K94¢95¢+$56
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3.7K100¢100¢+$4
Trump out as President by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.8K99¢100¢+$21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2.3K92¢96¢+$120
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.2K89¢96¢+$166
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.4K98¢98¢-$8
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2.2K98¢98¢-$4
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?PoliticsNo$2.1K94¢97¢+$50
Will Venezuela become 51st state?PoliticsNo$1.9K96¢97¢+$17
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.7K95¢95¢-$6
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K93¢97¢+$60
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.5K99¢99¢-$1
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.4K94¢96¢+$35
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.2K97¢97¢-$3
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.2K98¢98¢-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1.2K97¢97¢-$4
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?PoliticsNo$98486¢95¢+$109
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$82983¢88¢+$55
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$82398¢98¢-$1
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?PoliticsNo$76792¢98¢+$47
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?PoliticsNo$73193¢94¢+$10
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$70594¢96¢+$11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$63496¢97¢+$7
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$59996¢98¢+$12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$45373¢95¢+$133
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$55893¢97¢+$22
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$56593¢95¢+$12
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$49187¢96¢+$51
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$49399¢98¢-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$45090¢92¢+$8
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$48096¢83¢-$65
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$28865¢88¢+$103
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$36591¢97¢+$21
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?TechNo$35389¢95¢+$24
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$30098¢100¢+$4
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$22590¢91¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$11198¢99¢+$0
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMANo$9687¢88¢+$1
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?PoliticsNo$10563¢58¢-$9
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$6688¢94¢+$4
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$5871¢72¢+$0
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$5286¢93¢+$4
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?PoliticsNo$5595¢95¢+$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$4268¢80¢+$7
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$3877¢91¢+$6
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?PoliticsNo$4394¢97¢+$1
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$5959¢44¢-$15
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$4483¢82¢-$0
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?PoliticsNo$4447¢43¢-$4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$3636¢34¢-$3
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$3367¢59¢-$4
Will US annex any territory in 2026?PoliticsNo$2687¢96¢+$3
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1399¢99¢+$0
Human moon landing in 2026?TechNo$1097¢98¢+$0
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$980¢87¢+$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$883¢80¢-$0
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?TechYes$619¢17¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$3.1K
Culture+$748
NFL+$747
Tech+$543
Weather+$538
NBA+$532
Other sports+$437
Crypto+$319
Other+$319
Mentions-$141
Boxing+$123
Finance+$121
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?
Toughest beat
-$7.7K
Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$313m ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$442m ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$82h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$33h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$73h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$83h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$73h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$34h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$24h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$64h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$55h ago
  • Sold No · Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$46h ago