 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Culture | Yes | $538 | 73¢ | 83¢ | +$72 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $498 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$10 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $460 | 66¢ | 69¢ | +$20 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $85 | 19¢ | 100¢ | +$371 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $382 | 73¢ | 75¢ | +$9 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $372 | 46¢ | 43¢ | -$32 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $317 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $343 | 64¢ | 57¢ | -$34 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $33 | 12¢ | 100¢ | +$256 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Economy | No | $292 | 90¢ | 88¢ | -$7 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $270 | 73¢ | 72¢ | -$4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $261 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $242 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$12 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$59 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $232 | 61¢ | 65¢ | +$13 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $236 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Politics | Yes | $200 | 82¢ | 86¢ | +$9 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $173 | 61¢ | 73¢ | +$32 |
 Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Politics | Yes | $178 | 80¢ | 91¢ | +$24 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $197 | 62¢ | 63¢ | +$3 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $186 | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$10 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $197 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $186 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $185 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$2 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | Anthropic | $165 | 83¢ | 89¢ | +$13 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $137 | 33¢ | 42¢ | +$37 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $170 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | Yes | $159 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$11 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $80 | 35¢ | 72¢ | +$84 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | No | $164 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$1 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $152 | 76¢ | 81¢ | +$10 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $170 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$10 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Economy | Yes | $169 | 85¢ | 80¢ | -$10 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Economy | No | $167 | 89¢ | 84¢ | -$10 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?Crypto | No | $132 | 66¢ | 73¢ | +$13 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Economy | Yes | $150 | 75¢ | 72¢ | -$6 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $141 | 71¢ | 71¢ | +$1 |
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Politics | Yes | $97 | 69¢ | 99¢ | +$42 |
 Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Tech | No | $137 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?Tech | No | $137 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$1 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | Yes | $129 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $128 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$2 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $123 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$6 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Weather | No | $128 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $105 | 80¢ | 96¢ | +$20 |
| Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?NBA | No | $89 | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$31 |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Tech | No | $137 | 91¢ | 79¢ | -$19 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | Yes | $125 | 68¢ | 64¢ | -$8 |
 SHEIN IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $72 | 58¢ | 88¢ | +$37 |
 Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?Culture | Avengers: Doomsday | $86 | 81¢ | 97¢ | +$17 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 71¢ | 73¢ | +$2 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Politics | No | $100 | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?NFL | No | $100 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
| Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $86 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $85 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $85 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Politics | No | $85 | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?Tech | SpaceX | $93 | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $92 | 92¢ | 92¢ | +$0 |
 Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $89 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$3 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $90 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $80 | 53¢ | 61¢ | +$11 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Politics | No | $93 | 93¢ | 90¢ | -$4 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $88 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $94 | 94¢ | 88¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?NBA | No | $85 | 85¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $85 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$1 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $84 | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$4 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $51 | 64¢ | 99¢ | +$28 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Crypto | No | $67 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $62 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Finance | Yes | $84 | 28¢ | 24¢ | -$12 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?Finance | No | $69 | 72¢ | 75¢ | +$3 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $81 | 44¢ | 39¢ | -$10 |
 Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Politics | Yes | $87 | 87¢ | 71¢ | -$16 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?Finance | Yes | $70 | 70¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBA | No | $46 | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$24 |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $68 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Finance | No | $74 | 74¢ | 69¢ | -$5 |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | No | $86 | 76¢ | 61¢ | -$17 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | No | $62 | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Politics | No | $67 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $78 | 78¢ | 67¢ | -$12 |
 Will Robinhood (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $77 | 90¢ | 77¢ | -$11 |
 Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $59 | 74¢ | 80¢ | +$4 |
 Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?Culture | Yes | $76 | 59¢ | 49¢ | -$13 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $65 | 54¢ | 52¢ | -$3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $82 | 25¢ | 19¢ | -$21 |
 Will ARM (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $64 | 91¢ | 87¢ | -$3 |
 Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $54 | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $49 | 33¢ | 37¢ | +$6 |
 Will Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $62 | 78¢ | 68¢ | -$8 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $49 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?Economy | Yes | $62 | 52¢ | 42¢ | -$12 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?Finance | UpResolved | $34 | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
 Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $47 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
 Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $45 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Tech | Yes | $64 | 64¢ | 47¢ | -$18 |
 Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?Finance | Yes | $42 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
Cashed out Yes · Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?$581d ago