 Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $53 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$16 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?Politics | No | $16 | 55¢ | 55¢ | -$0 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $14 | 35¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 51¢ | 60¢ | +$2 |
 Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | No | $13 | 42¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | No | $12 | 53¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 13¢ | 10¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $11 | 47¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 35¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 31¢ | 32¢ | +$0 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
 Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 49¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9 | 26¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $8 | 28¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 54¢ | 41¢ | -$3 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $13 | 54¢ | 32¢ | -$5 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 14¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 54¢ | 54¢ | -$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 9.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$0 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 27 2026?Finance | No | $11 | 54¢ | 26¢ | -$6 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $6 | 81¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 72¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $6 | 49¢ | 40¢ | -$1 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $4 | 33¢ | 34¢ | +$0 |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Economy | No | $5 | 46¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Politics | Yes | $5 | 35¢ | 32¢ | -$0 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 61¢ | 61¢ | -$0 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 72¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of July 27 2026?Finance | No | $4 | 44¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
 Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 77¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?Tech | Yes | $4 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 86¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Greek snap election scheduled in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 45¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
| Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q2 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $156?Finance | No | $3 | 41¢ | 45¢ | +$0 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $12 | 9.0¢ | 2.6¢ | -$9 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Something | $3 | 25¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 66¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Politics | Yes | $3 | 37¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $3 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $4 | 42¢ | 36¢ | -$1 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $3 | 27¢ | 28¢ | +$0 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Politics | Yes | $4 | 82¢ | 67¢ | -$1 |
 Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Politics | Yes | $4 | 51¢ | 41¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$0 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 74¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 59¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 51¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
 Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | No | $7 | 44¢ | 19¢ | -$4 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2 | 32¢ | 38¢ | +$0 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$1 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 70¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 6.0¢ | 6.6¢ | +$0 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Tech | Yes | $3 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $3 | 63¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?Politics | Yes | $35 | 30¢ | 2.4¢ | -$32 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?Weather | No | $3 | 47¢ | 44¢ | -$0 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.25 Week of July 27 2026?Finance | Yes | $3 | 37¢ | 31¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $3 | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | No | $3 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 43¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 54¢ | 55¢ | +$0 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of July 27 2026?Finance | Yes | $5 | 42¢ | 22¢ | -$2 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Politics | No | $2 | 57¢ | 69¢ | +$0 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Politics | No | $2 | 87¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $2 | 25¢ | 30¢ | +$0 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Politics | No | $2 | 48¢ | 50¢ | +$0 |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Politics | No | $2 | 23¢ | 19¢ | -$0 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Politics | Yes | $2 | 81¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | No | $4 | 9.0¢ | 4.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $3 | 44¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $2 | 43¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $2 | 26¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $292.50 Week of July 27 2026?Finance | Yes | $2 | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$0 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Culture | No | $4 | 36¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 20¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 33¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
 Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?Politics | Yes | $3 | 22¢ | 10¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 16¢ | -$2 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 49¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Politics | No | $1 | 61¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $1 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 51¢ | 29¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $1 | 19¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 17¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | Yes | $2 | 70¢ | 54¢ | -$0 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Weather | Yes | $2 | 37¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $1 | 54¢ | 74¢ | +$0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $1 | 73¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Politics | No | $1 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1 | 21¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Politics | No | $1 | 68¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 37¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $2 | 53¢ | 32¢ | -$1 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Economy | NoResolved | $6 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Tech | NoResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |