← Whale Watch

KickstandBot

Predicting since Apr 20269,494 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$37489¢90¢+$1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$21686¢95¢+$20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$13272¢81¢+$15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$19723¢15¢-$64
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$32.8¢100¢+$121
Blue tsunami in 2026?PoliticsNo$9652¢56¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 26?WeatherNo$8686¢94¢+$7
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$53.1¢63¢+$87
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$7476¢87¢+$10
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$4151¢100¢+$39
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$4253¢95¢+$33
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6241¢50¢+$13
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 26?WeatherNo$6589¢100¢+$8
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$6342¢44¢+$2
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?TechNo$6279¢81¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 27?WeatherNo$6278¢80¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 26?WeatherYes$59.1¢100¢+$55
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 26?WeatherYes$59.1¢100¢+$54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 26?WeatherNo$4880¢98¢+$11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 26?WeatherNo$4982¢96¢+$8
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?TechNo$4677¢94¢+$10
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?PoliticsNo$5287¢85¢-$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$4777¢82¢+$3
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsNo$4765¢68¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 26?WeatherNo$4779¢80¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 27?WeatherNo$4880¢76¢-$3
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$4354¢54¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 28?WeatherNo$4270¢69¢-$0
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$4151¢51¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 26?WeatherNo$3178¢100¢+$9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2971¢100¢+$11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 26?WeatherNo$3179¢100¢+$8
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$3151¢65¢+$8
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 26?WeatherYes$109.1¢34¢+$28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 27?WeatherNo$4265¢57¢-$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$3848¢47¢-$1
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?PoliticsNo$3689¢92¢+$1
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$3587¢90¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 26?WeatherYes$79.1¢45¢+$28
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?PoliticsNo$3589¢89¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$3544¢44¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 27?WeatherNo$3589¢86¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 26?WeatherNo$3682¢78¢-$2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$23.6¢57¢+$32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1751¢100¢+$16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 27?WeatherNo$3485¢82¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2885¢100¢+$5
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$232.9¢4.2¢+$10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 27?WeatherNo$3184¢86¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 25?WeatherNo$2580¢100¢+$6
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$3864¢51¢-$8
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 27?WeatherNo$3587¢76¢-$4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 27?WeatherNo$3076¢76¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?WeatherYes$39.1¢100¢+$27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 26?WeatherNo$3178¢75¢-$1
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$3050¢50¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 27?WeatherNo$3076¢74¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2784¢91¢+$2
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$1132¢81¢+$17
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$102.2¢6.2¢+$17
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?NFLNo$2870¢66¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?WeatherNo$2473¢79¢+$2
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2270¢81¢+$3
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1872¢100¢+$7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?WeatherNo$2685¢84¢-$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2882¢73¢-$3
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$1742¢62¢+$8
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$2152¢62¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 28?WeatherNo$2460¢61¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$3281¢60¢-$9
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 28?WeatherNo$2562¢57¢-$2
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 27?WeatherNo$2481¢75¢-$2
Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?PoliticsNo$1983¢96¢+$3
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$232.9¢2.8¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 27?WeatherNo$1974¢82¢+$2
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$1220¢34¢+$9
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$46.7¢38¢+$17
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 28?WeatherNo$2187¢83¢-$1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 26?WeatherNoResolved$1678¢100¢+$4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 26?WeatherYes$29.1¢100¢+$18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1889¢100¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?WeatherYes$29.1¢100¢+$18
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on July 26?WeatherNo$1574¢100¢+$5
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-26?Soccer (other)No$1574¢100¢+$5
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 26?WeatherYes$29.1¢100¢+$18
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?PoliticsNo$1786¢100¢+$3
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$21.1¢12¢+$18
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$12.9¢98¢+$19
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 27?WeatherNo$2986¢56¢-$10
Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?CultureNo$1682¢96¢+$3
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$1786¢96¢+$2
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$1892¢95¢+$0
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$34.2¢27¢+$16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1785¢93¢+$2
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?EconomyNo$1889¢92¢+$1
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?PoliticsNo$1785¢92¢+$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1889¢89¢+$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?WeatherYes$39.1¢49¢+$14
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 26?WeatherYes$29.1¢88¢+$16
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?FinanceNo$1787¢88¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$566
Weather-$159
Economy-$150
Tech-$134
Finance-$127
Culture+$68
Soccer (other)+$51
Mentions-$35
Basketball (other)+$8
NBA-$4
Crypto-$4
NFL-$2
Biggest hit
+$208
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Toughest beat
-$141
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?$174m ago
  • MERGE Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?$407m ago
  • CONVERSION Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC$07m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?$179m ago
  • Bought No · Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-26?$1413m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 27?$1714m ago
  • MERGE Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 26?$418m ago
  • MERGE Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?$418m ago
  • MERGE Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 26?$918m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 27?$1518m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 28?$1618m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?$323m ago