← Whale Watch

Jest55

Predicting since Dec 20242,269 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $23K on Formula 1 markets since Dec 2024.

Right now: $18K riding on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?.

Biggest hit: +$12K on Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford .

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$18K86¢85¢-$380
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$9.4K70¢99¢+$3.9K
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$11K91¢95¢+$456
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsNo$7.6K99¢99¢+$12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5.6K93¢96¢+$197
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?PoliticsNo$4.7K96¢99¢+$149
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$3.4K59¢81¢+$1.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$3.4K49¢43¢-$479
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2.0K57¢56¢-$33
New pandemic in 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K88¢94¢+$108
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?CryptoNo$1.1K91¢94¢+$38
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$91783¢94¢+$112
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.0K71¢70¢-$7
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$94994¢96¢+$18
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$58183¢93¢+$72
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsNo$61590¢95¢+$31
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31?PoliticsNo$58698¢99¢+$9
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in July?FinanceNo$51099¢99¢+$0
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?PoliticsNo$47795¢97¢+$6
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNo$40474¢84¢+$49
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$31365¢94¢+$140
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$44598¢99¢+$6
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in July 2026?PoliticsNo$39698¢100¢+$6
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?PoliticsNo$29799¢99¢+$1
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$23379¢84¢+$13
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?PoliticsNo$14792¢96¢+$7
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$13496¢96¢+$1
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in July?FinanceNo$10899¢99¢+$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$39754¢14¢-$291
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?FinanceNo$10499¢99¢+$0
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?PoliticsNo$9796¢97¢+$1
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?PoliticsNo$8686¢97¢+$11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?FinanceNo$10293¢88¢-$6
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$6262¢92¢+$29
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$6786¢95¢+$7
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?PoliticsNo$6260¢71¢+$11
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMANo$6060¢67¢+$7
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4560¢88¢+$21
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$3964¢93¢+$17
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?PoliticsNo$5396¢98¢+$1
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?PoliticsNo$4072¢91¢+$10
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?PoliticsNo$4589¢92¢+$1
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$4498¢100¢+$1
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?FinanceNo$4599¢99¢-$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsYes$3671¢69¢-$1
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2496¢99¢+$1
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$1645¢67¢+$8
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$2068¢80¢+$3
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$2390¢92¢+$0
Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026?UFC / MMANo$1657¢80¢+$6
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$74827¢0.8¢-$727
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?PoliticsNo$1565¢91¢+$6
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?PoliticsNo$848¢82¢+$5
Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$1098¢100¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1099¢99¢+$0
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$1095¢99¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1095¢96¢+$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$766¢92¢+$3
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?PoliticsNo$552¢90¢+$4
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$990¢90¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsNo$986¢88¢+$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?PoliticsYes$87.6¢6.8¢-$1
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$487¢96¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$475¢94¢+$1
Iran nuclear test before 2027?PoliticsNo$489¢93¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$478¢57¢-$1
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsNo$1418.2¢0.1¢-$140
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?PoliticsNo$442¢11¢-$3
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?MentionsNoResolved$332¢0.0¢-$3
Iran strike on US military by January 31?PoliticsYesResolved$26026¢0.0¢-$260
US bank failure by March 31?EconomyNoResolved$3161¢0.0¢-$31
Will Trump say "Greenland" during NewsNation interview?MentionsNoResolved$1910¢0.0¢-$19
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?PoliticsNoResolved$7979¢0.0¢-$79
Will Sinikka Monte win UMK 2026?CultureYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1.6K18¢0.0¢-$1.6K
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Corpus Christi on Friday?MentionsNoResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 8+ times during Taoiseach events?MentionsNoResolved$3832¢0.0¢-$38
Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call?MentionsNoResolved$3335¢0.0¢-$33
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$757.5¢0.0¢-$75
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$1.4K67¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?Formula 1NoResolved$43472¢0.0¢-$434
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?UFC / MMAYesResolved$1.0K36¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$40624¢0.0¢-$406
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovBoxingMakhmudovResolved$1.5K16¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Will Trump say "China" or "Russia" 15+ times during Iowa speech?MentionsYesResolved$3637¢0.0¢-$36
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?WeatherNoResolved$1.5K44¢0.0¢-$1.5K
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo MusettiTennisMusettiResolved$1.0K14¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles TournamentTennisYesResolved$98.7¢0.0¢-$9
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?PoliticsNoResolved$3.1K78¢0.0¢-$3.1K
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$29032¢0.0¢-$290
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?MentionsNoResolved$48248¢0.0¢-$482
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$2.2K56¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$1.3K91¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?PoliticsYesResolved$12563¢0.0¢-$125
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?MentionsNoResolved$26570¢0.0¢-$265
Will Trump say "Toyota" during events with Japanese PM?MentionsYesResolved$148¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?PoliticsYesResolved$33233¢0.0¢-$332
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$40080¢0.0¢-$400
Will Rory McIlroy be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?GolfNoResolved$55433¢0.0¢-$554
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$81.6¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Formula 1+$23K
Tennis+$17K
Boxing+$12K
UFC / MMA+$7.6K
Culture-$7.1K
Politics+$6.4K
Basketball (other)+$5.1K
Premier League+$3.2K
Golf-$3.0K
Soccer (other)-$2.7K
Finance+$2.6K
World Cup-$2.5K
Biggest hit
+$12K
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
Toughest beat
-$9.8K
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2

Recent moves

  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$33557m ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1644h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$34h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$24h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1034h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$784h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$314h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$134h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$64h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$44h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$454h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$24h ago