← Whale Watch

betstaker

Predicting since Apr 2026226 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.9K across 9 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$1.5K81¢80¢-$19
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$35419¢20¢+$14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsNoResolved$10097¢100¢+$4
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1213¢100¢+$83
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?World CupYesResolved$7998¢100¢+$2
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World CupYesResolved$6595¢100¢+$3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$5283¢100¢+$11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?PoliticsYes$4077¢100¢+$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$4179¢100¢+$11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$4272¢80¢+$4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?PoliticsNo$3894¢95¢+$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$3798¢98¢-$0
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3698¢100¢+$1
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$2776¢100¢+$9
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsNoResolved$3497¢100¢+$1
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2494¢100¢+$2
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?PoliticsNoResolved$1664¢100¢+$9
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$1249¢100¢+$13
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?MentionsYesResolved$2294¢100¢+$1
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$1566¢100¢+$8
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5?CryptoYesResolved$834¢100¢+$15
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?PoliticsYesResolved$1254¢100¢+$10
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2296¢95¢-$0
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?PoliticsYesResolved$2098¢100¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$1563¢89¢+$6
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$1052¢100¢+$9
Will England win on 2026-07-01?World CupYesResolved$950¢100¢+$9
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$1394¢95¢+$0
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$1180¢100¢+$3
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?World CupNoResolved$1395¢100¢+$1
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$1188¢100¢+$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$1184¢98¢+$2
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$539¢100¢+$7
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1187¢93¢+$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1313¢13¢-$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$1089¢100¢+$1
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$1026¢30¢+$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?PoliticsNo$865¢87¢+$3
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoNoResolved$1090¢100¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$432¢92¢+$7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1241¢36¢-$2
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$420¢48¢+$6
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$1094¢96¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$29.0¢43¢+$7
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$997¢100¢+$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$921¢21¢-$0
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?PoliticsNo$994¢94¢-$0
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?PoliticsNoResolved$560¢100¢+$4
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?TechYesResolved$668¢100¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBANo$450¢100¢+$4
US strike on Cuba by December 31?PoliticsYes$1037¢33¢-$1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$763¢84¢+$2
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$895¢97¢+$0
Will Leavitt say "World Cup" during the next White House Press Briefing?MentionsYesResolved$898¢100¢+$0
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?PoliticsYesResolved$899¢100¢+$0
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$894¢100¢+$1
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$112¢100¢+$7
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?PoliticsYesResolved$891¢100¢+$1
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?World CupYesResolved$224¢100¢+$6
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$2146¢17¢-$14
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$795¢97¢+$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$859¢56¢-$0
Trump goes to space in 2026?PoliticsNo$797¢98¢+$0
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$456¢100¢+$3
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$457¢100¢+$3
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?TechYesResolved$795¢100¢+$0
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$681¢100¢+$1
NATO dissolves before 2027?PoliticsNo$796¢97¢+$0
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$696¢100¢+$0
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$699¢100¢+$0
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesMLBNew York YankeesResolved$466¢100¢+$2
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?PoliticsYesResolved$589¢100¢+$1
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$117¢100¢+$5
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$664¢63¢-$0
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$118¢100¢+$5
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?PoliticsNoResolved$599¢100¢+$0
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsNo$560¢63¢+$0
Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?CryptoNoResolved$597¢100¢+$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$590¢100¢+$1
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?PoliticsNo$599¢100¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$724¢16¢-$2
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$244¢100¢+$3
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?World CupNoResolved$496¢100¢+$0
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$495¢100¢+$0
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to AdvanceWorld CupBrazilResolved$251¢100¢+$2
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?World CupNoResolved$497¢100¢+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$362¢100¢+$2
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$370¢100¢+$1
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupMoroccoResolved$247¢100¢+$2
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$493¢100¢+$0
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$492¢93¢+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$625¢17¢-$2
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado RockiesMLBWashington NationalsResolved$390¢100¢+$0
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?PoliticsYesResolved$394¢100¢+$0
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?World CupYesResolved$253¢100¢+$2
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceWorld CupMexicoResolved$263¢100¢+$1
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$398¢100¢+$0
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?PoliticsNoResolved$392¢100¢+$0
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?PoliticsNo$398¢98¢-$0
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?World CupNoResolved$395¢100¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$279
World Cup+$81
Crypto+$42
Weather-$11
MLB-$11
NBA+$4
Mentions+$3
Tech+$2
Culture-$2
Tennis+$1
NFL+$0
Biggest hit
+$53
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$612h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$418h ago
  • Sold No · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$1023h ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$31d ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$41d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$81d ago
  • Bought No · Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?$41d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$41d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$81d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$31d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?$161d ago
  • Bought No · Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?$11d ago