← Whale Watch

probablywronglol

Predicting since Dec 2025473 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$17248¢85¢+$132
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$40753¢38¢-$122
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$16865¢80¢+$38
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$17170¢80¢+$25
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?PoliticsNoResolved$10065¢100¢+$54
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?CryptoNo$10057¢83¢+$45
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?PoliticsNo$10061¢88¢+$44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$10065¢92¢+$41
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$10070¢96¢+$37
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$10073¢100¢+$36
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$10074¢100¢+$35
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?Soccer (other)NoResolved$10078¢100¢+$28
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$10078¢99¢+$27
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechNo$10075¢93¢+$23
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$10047¢57¢+$22
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$10080¢97¢+$21
Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayOther sportsNo$10076¢88¢+$15
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$10055¢60¢+$8
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$10055¢60¢+$8
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$11252¢50¢-$4
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$10049¢50¢+$1
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$10050¢51¢+$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$10076¢75¢-$2
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$10052¢51¢-$3
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$10046¢43¢-$8
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$6266¢94¢+$26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$10066¢56¢-$14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$10068¢56¢-$17
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$5867¢86¢+$16
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?CryptoNo$5364¢83¢+$16
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3666¢100¢+$18
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?PoliticsNo$3871¢95¢+$12
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?TechNo$10074¢34¢-$53
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$3680¢100¢+$9
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3864¢51¢-$8
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?PoliticsNo$2079¢100¢+$5
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBANoResolved$2091¢100¢+$2
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$1773¢88¢+$4
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$10068¢14¢-$80
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?PoliticsNo$1078¢93¢+$2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$1088¢86¢-$0
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?PoliticsNo$574¢93¢+$1
Celonis IPO before 2027?TechNo$358¢88¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$389¢96¢+$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$386¢96¢+$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?CryptoNoResolved$2085¢0.0¢-$20
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?College FootballNoResolved$155¢0.0¢-$1
US government shutdown Saturday?PoliticsNoResolved$11075¢0.0¢-$110
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?CultureNoResolved$1055¢0.0¢-$10
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$452¢0.0¢-$4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1047¢0.0¢-$10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?PoliticsNoResolved$646¢0.0¢-$6
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?NBANoResolved$1870¢0.0¢-$18
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2523¢0.0¢-$25
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?PoliticsNoResolved$3056¢0.0¢-$30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?PoliticsNoResolved$20178¢0.0¢-$201
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$10070¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$10051¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$757¢0.0¢-$7
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$4252¢0.0¢-$42
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$572¢0.0¢-$5
Will Timo Werner sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?Soccer (other)NoResolved$2562¢0.0¢-$25
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie ANoResolved$10047¢0.0¢-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?CryptoNoResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?NBANoResolved$1055¢0.0¢-$10
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$452¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump visit Nevada in 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$3770¢0.0¢-$37
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2067¢0.0¢-$20
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1663¢0.0¢-$16
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?NFLNoResolved$19078¢0.0¢-$190
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?College FootballNoResolved$10080¢0.0¢-$100
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?EconomyNoResolved$1447¢0.0¢-$14
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?TechNoResolved$1446¢0.0¢-$14
Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?NFLNoResolved$2052¢0.0¢-$20

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$791
Crypto+$462
Other sports-$310
Culture-$295
Bundesliga+$292
La Liga-$198
Finance+$175
Economy-$138
Soccer (other)-$100
Serie A-$100
Tech-$68
Mentions+$66
Biggest hit
+$183
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Toughest beat
-$282
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?