← Whale Watch

LBZbot2

Predicting since Mar 20263,231 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$9797¢96¢-$0
Remote IPO before 2027?TechNo$8282¢82¢+$0
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$7998¢99¢+$0
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?PoliticsNo$7492¢92¢-$1
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$6796¢100¢+$3
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5680¢92¢+$8
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$60100¢100¢+$0
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?PoliticsNo$4880¢98¢+$11
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5287¢97¢+$6
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$3151¢94¢+$25
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?PoliticsYes$5693¢94¢+$1
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$5897¢93¢-$2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$4581¢97¢+$9
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?TechNo$4169¢90¢+$12
Celonis IPO before 2027?TechNo$5184¢88¢+$2
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$5092¢95¢+$1
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?FinanceYes$5467¢64¢-$2
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$5197¢97¢-$0
Rippling IPO before 2027?TechNo$5388¢85¢-$2
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?CryptoNo$3672¢92¢+$10
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsNo$4588¢87¢-$1
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$3654¢66¢+$7
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$3690¢100¢+$4
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$40100¢100¢+$0
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$4099¢100¢+$0
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$4099¢100¢+$0
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$3997¢99¢+$1
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyNo$3690¢99¢+$4
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3997¢99¢+$1
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$3896¢98¢+$1
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?PoliticsNo$3894¢98¢+$1
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsNo$3893¢96¢+$1
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$3896¢96¢-$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsNo$3691¢96¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the CA-26 House seat?PoliticsNo$3689¢94¢+$2
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$00.5¢93¢+$37
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$3583¢87¢+$2
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$2255¢91¢+$14
Glean IPO before 2027?TechNo$3588¢91¢+$1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2976¢89¢+$5
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?CryptoNo$3594¢88¢-$2
Discord IPO before 2027?TechNo$1428¢65¢+$18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$3076¢80¢+$2
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$2050¢78¢+$11
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsNo$3087¢90¢+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?PoliticsYes$2476¢94¢+$6
Vanta IPO before 2027?TechNo$2886¢91¢+$2
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026PoliticsYes$1844¢74¢+$12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$3057¢56¢-$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyNo$3383¢72¢-$4
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?CryptoNo$2278¢96¢+$5
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?PoliticsYes$76.6¢28¢+$21
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2597¢99¢+$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$2499¢100¢+$0
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2397¢98¢+$0
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?CultureNo$2564¢59¢-$2
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2397¢97¢+$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePoliticsNo$2051¢56¢+$2
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)No$3281¢56¢-$10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$2027¢27¢+$0
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$1153¢100¢+$9
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$1472¢100¢+$6
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1No$20100¢100¢+$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Tom Sherman win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsNo$1996¢100¢+$1
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2099¢100¢+$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2099¢99¢+$0
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?MLBNo$2098¢99¢+$0
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2098¢99¢+$0
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$1570¢90¢+$4
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2099¢99¢-$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?PoliticsNo$1993¢99¢+$1
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?MLSNo$1997¢99¢+$0
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1No$2098¢98¢+$0
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?TechNo$1993¢98¢+$1
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$2099¢98¢-$0
Will the Republican Party win the OR-06 House seat?PoliticsNo$1891¢97¢+$1
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?PoliticsNo$1993¢97¢+$1
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$1890¢96¢+$1
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?PoliticsNo$1995¢96¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$1892¢95¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$1993¢95¢+$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$1783¢95¢+$2
Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat?PoliticsYes$1890¢94¢+$1
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$1680¢94¢+$3
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-03 House seat?PoliticsNo$1993¢94¢+$0
Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?PoliticsYes$1890¢94¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the LA-01 House seat?PoliticsYes$1892¢94¢+$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?PoliticsYes$1890¢94¢+$1
Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?PoliticsNo$1994¢94¢-$0
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?CryptoYes$821¢47¢+$10
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?FinanceNo$1575¢92¢+$3
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?PoliticsNo$1892¢92¢-$0
Ramp IPO before 2027?TechNo$1787¢92¢+$1
Ledger IPO before 2027?TechNo$628¢91¢+$13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$1366¢91¢+$5
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?WeatherNo$1783¢91¢+$2
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?FinanceNo$1260¢91¢+$6
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$3151¢30¢-$13

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$661
NHL+$164
Crypto-$151
Golf-$104
Weather-$96
Champions League-$85
Tech-$57
Culture-$41
Mentions-$32
UFC / MMA-$28
Formula 1+$27
Finance-$25
Biggest hit
+$106
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Toughest beat
-$89
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Todd Graham be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$01d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$201d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$201d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$06d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16d ago