 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $36 | 38¢ | 52¢ | +$13 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $38 | 37¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Politics | Yes | $33 | 60¢ | 71¢ | +$6 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $15 | 21¢ | 35¢ | +$10 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $16 | 23¢ | 36¢ | +$8 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $19 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Culture | No | $16 | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$1 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | No | $23 | 30¢ | 21¢ | -$7 |
 Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 69¢ | 69¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Other sports | No | $14 | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 61¢ | 36¢ | -$10 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $20 | 34¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Culture | No | $13 | 58¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HousePolitics | Yes | $13 | 46¢ | 50¢ | +$1 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | Yes | $9 | 62¢ | 87¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $11 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | Yes | $9 | 18¢ | 23¢ | +$2 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $14 | 30¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 40¢ | 40¢ | -$0 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Crypto | No | $16 | 29¢ | 19¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 76¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 50¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $22 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$12 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $13 | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?Crypto | No | $4 | 31¢ | 77¢ | +$6 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | No | $9 | 25¢ | 27¢ | +$1 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Culture | No | $15 | 60¢ | 38¢ | -$5 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $10 | 67¢ | 66¢ | -$0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | No | $8 | 70¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | No | $12 | 54¢ | 43¢ | -$3 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $14 | 48¢ | 32¢ | -$5 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Politics | No | $7 | 60¢ | 80¢ | +$2 |
 Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $9 | 41¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 8.2¢ | 8.5¢ | +$0 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 68¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $20 | 49¢ | 21¢ | -$12 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | Yes | $10 | 44¢ | 36¢ | -$2 |
 Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 62¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $11 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $6 | 34¢ | 41¢ | +$1 |
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Crypto | No | $9 | 54¢ | 44¢ | -$2 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 47¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Politics | No | $5 | 46¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 67¢ | 70¢ | +$0 |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?Politics | No | $6 | 72¢ | 78¢ | +$0 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | Yes | $6 | 33¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Politics | Yes | $6 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 50¢ | 45¢ | -$1 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | No | $5 | 75¢ | 90¢ | +$1 |
 Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?Politics | No | $6 | 60¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $5 | 68¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?Politics | No | $8 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$2 |
 Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 55¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 56¢ | 63¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 9.0¢ | 13¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $10 | 40¢ | 22¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $5 | 20¢ | 24¢ | +$1 |
 Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 40¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 37¢ | 33¢ | -$1 |
 Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $17 | 54¢ | 17¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6 | 71¢ | 63¢ | -$1 |
 Will Grüne win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $4 | 43¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$1 |
| Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $5 | 51¢ | 53¢ | +$0 |
 Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?Politics | Yes | $5 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Politics | No | $16 | 46¢ | 13¢ | -$12 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $4 | 55¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
 Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?Politics | No | $13 | 63¢ | 23¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $4 | 57¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 15¢ | 18¢ | +$1 |
 Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?Economy | No | $3 | 65¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Crypto | Yes | $4 | 75¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?Crypto | Yes | $3 | 7.8¢ | 11¢ | +$1 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $4 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | No | $5 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$0 |
 Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Economy | No | $4 | 74¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $4 | 67¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 38¢ | 43¢ | +$0 |
 Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Economy | No | $4 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?Weather | No | $4 | 69¢ | 71¢ | +$0 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Weather | No | $4 | 75¢ | 76¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics | No | $6 | 68¢ | 45¢ | -$2 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $2 | 12¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Tech | No | $3 | 27¢ | 36¢ | +$1 |
 Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | -$1 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Premier League | No | $4 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $6 | 71¢ | 46¢ | -$2 |
 Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Serie A | No | $4 | 51¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?Politics | Yes | $6 | 27¢ | 18¢ | -$2 |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: V Over/Under 7%?Politics | Under | $3 | 39¢ | 49¢ | +$1 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 71¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 62¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6 | 73¢ | 45¢ | -$2 |
 Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | No | $4 | 46¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gisèle Pouhe Njall win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 47¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $4 | 7.2¢ | 6.6¢ | -$0 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | No | $3 | 49¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
Bought Elena Rybakina · US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina$21h ago
Bought No · Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?$22h ago
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?$94h ago