 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $301 | 62¢ | 76¢ | +$66 |
 Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $171 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $138 | 86¢ | 84¢ | -$4 |
 Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Politics | No | $96 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$9 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $89 | 77¢ | 87¢ | +$11 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $81 | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
 Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Bundesliga | Yes | $81 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30?Politics | No | $74 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $75 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $70 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$6 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Politics | No | $74 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $66 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $57 | 57¢ | 72¢ | +$14 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $78 | 61¢ | 56¢ | -$7 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $67 | 84¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Tech | No | $65 | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$1 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | No | $49 | 81¢ | 95¢ | +$8 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $70 | 30¢ | 22¢ | -$19 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Tech | No | $39 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Politics | Yes | $41 | 69¢ | 61¢ | -$5 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 80¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
 US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?Politics | No | $26 | 81¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
 Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Tennis | No | $27 | 91¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $24 | 51¢ | 53¢ | +$1 |
 Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Other | No | $23 | 76¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?Politics | No | $22 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Politics | No | $19 | 65¢ | 71¢ | +$2 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Politics | No | $21 | 86¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 70¢ | 86¢ | +$3 |
 Will "Primetime" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Culture | Yes | $14 | 78¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
 Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?Finance | Yes | $16 | 40¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $30 | 71¢ | 34¢ | -$16 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 40¢ | 34¢ | -$2 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?Politics | No | $13 | 85¢ | 83¢ | -$0 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Politics | No | $7 | 53¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30?Finance | No | $12 | 78¢ | 77¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in September?Politics | No | $11 | 83¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 52¢ | 39¢ | -$4 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?NFL | No | $12 | 74¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Economy | No | $24 | 74¢ | 35¢ | -$13 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Politics | No | $8 | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $7 | 48¢ | 73¢ | +$4 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Economy | No | $9 | 79¢ | 87¢ | +$1 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 29¢ | 28¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $15 | 37¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
 Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?Politics | Yes | $7 | 43¢ | 52¢ | +$1 |
 Will Arthur Fils Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsTennis | No | $18 | 52¢ | 24¢ | -$10 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 35¢ | +$0 |
 Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Tennis | Yes | $14 | 50¢ | 28¢ | -$6 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.125T by September 30?Finance | No | $7 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
 Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Politics | Yes | $7 | 45¢ | 46¢ | +$0 |
 Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 48¢ | 30¢ | -$5 |
| Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Tennis | Yes | $19 | 47¢ | 18¢ | -$12 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Weather | No | $6 | 88¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 59¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Tech | Yes | $6 | 43¢ | 41¢ | -$0 |
 Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027?Tennis | No | $5 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Golf | No | $2 | 23¢ | 60¢ | +$4 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 73¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankingsTennis | Yes | $6 | 39¢ | 26¢ | -$2 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Economy | No | $2 | 45¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?Weather | Yes | $3 | 65¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Tech | No | $3 | 80¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 52¢ | -$0 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$0 |
 Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?Other sports | No | $3 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $7 | 22¢ | 8.5¢ | -$4 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | Yes | $3 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$0 |
 Kash Patel out by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 5.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -$3 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
 China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Politics | Yes | $2 | 17¢ | 18¢ | +$0 |
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.625T by September 30?Finance | Yes | $1 | 23¢ | 24¢ | +$0 |
 Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?Politics | No | $1 | 78¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
| Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $1 | 22¢ | 27¢ | +$0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Sold No · Natural Disaster in 2026?$52h ago
Sold No · X banned in any European country by December 31?$352h ago
Sold Yes · Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?$32h ago
Sold No · SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$102h ago
Sold Yes · Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?$134h ago
Sold Over · Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%?$15h ago
Sold Yes · Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$309h ago