 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | No | $234 | 58¢ | 80¢ | +$85 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | Yes | $241 | 62¢ | 75¢ | +$47 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?Politics | No | $234 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$12 |
 Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $241 | 92¢ | 93¢ | +$3 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $165 | 78¢ | 85¢ | +$15 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $170 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $127 | 53¢ | 58¢ | +$13 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $120 | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$10 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $113 | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$14 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $96 | 73¢ | 95¢ | +$27 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | Yes | $92 | 51¢ | 64¢ | +$24 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $99 | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$13 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $101 | 57¢ | 63¢ | +$9 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $101 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $106 | 32¢ | 33¢ | +$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $107 | 89¢ | 85¢ | -$5 |
 Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Politics | No | $96 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$3 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Politics | Yes | $92 | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $87 | 65¢ | 68¢ | +$3 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyPolitics | Nothing | $79 | 76¢ | 82¢ | +$6 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Politics | Yes | $74 | 45¢ | 48¢ | +$6 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?Tech | Yes | $76 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Politics | Yes | $76 | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $74 | 92¢ | 97¢ | +$4 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Politics | Yes | $75 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$2 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBA | No | $61 | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $62 | 66¢ | 80¢ | +$13 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $65 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$8 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$12 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Politics | Yes | $71 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 82¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $45 | 56¢ | 88¢ | +$25 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Politics | No | $61 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $71 | 36¢ | 36¢ | -$2 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $52 | 67¢ | 87¢ | +$15 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $64 | 78¢ | 78¢ | -$0 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $62 | 76¢ | 77¢ | +$0 |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?Politics | No | $53 | 82¢ | 92¢ | +$6 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Politics | No | $63 | 70¢ | 64¢ | -$6 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $54 | 54¢ | 56¢ | +$2 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $63 | 70¢ | 61¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $56 | 44¢ | 44¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $44 | 55¢ | 68¢ | +$10 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $69 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$15 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $49 | 81¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?Politics | Yes | $53 | 73¢ | 72¢ | -$1 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Politics | No | $49 | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Politics | No | $39 | 56¢ | 69¢ | +$9 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $26 | 33¢ | 57¢ | +$20 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $25 | 29¢ | 54¢ | +$20 |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $35 | 75¢ | 96¢ | +$10 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $42 | 69¢ | 73¢ | +$3 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | Yes | $41 | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$2 |
 Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?Economy | Yes | $43 | 71¢ | 71¢ | -$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $45 | 88¢ | 82¢ | -$3 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $40 | 44¢ | 46¢ | +$1 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $34 | 55¢ | 65¢ | +$6 |
 Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Politics | No | $36 | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $58 | 54¢ | 37¢ | -$19 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Tech | No | $35 | 62¢ | 70¢ | +$5 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31?Politics | No | $30 | 67¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?Politics | No | $30 | 74¢ | 94¢ | +$8 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Tennis | Yes | $38 | 54¢ | 52¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 90¢ | 97¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $21 | 28¢ | 50¢ | +$15 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Politics | No | $30 | 74¢ | 90¢ | +$7 |
 Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $40 | 67¢ | 59¢ | -$5 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Politics | Yes | $26 | 74¢ | 99¢ | +$9 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $25 | 67¢ | 93¢ | +$10 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | Yes | $35 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Finance | No | $31 | 79¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $32 | 36¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in July?Economy | Yes | $25 | 65¢ | 81¢ | +$6 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $54 | 72¢ | 42¢ | -$23 |
 Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 81¢ | 77¢ | -$2 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $28 | 66¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $47 | 77¢ | 47¢ | -$18 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | Yes | $22 | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $30 | 38¢ | 35¢ | -$2 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $27 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | No | $35 | 46¢ | 36¢ | -$8 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 51¢ | 34¢ | -$14 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $23 | 62¢ | 74¢ | +$4 |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 94¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics | No | $20 | 63¢ | 76¢ | +$4 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Politics | No | $21 | 56¢ | 61¢ | +$2 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | Yes | $27 | 22¢ | 18¢ | -$6 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | No | $32 | 84¢ | 50¢ | -$13 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $31 | 52¢ | 31¢ | -$13 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $16 | 40¢ | 44¢ | +$1 |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026?Politics | No | $17 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Politics | No | $18 | 75¢ | 71¢ | -$1 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 60¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Finance | No | $10 | 52¢ | 91¢ | +$7 |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | No | $14 | 72¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | No | $14 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | Yes | $16 | 33¢ | 33¢ | -$0 |
 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $13 | 33¢ | 38¢ | +$2 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $13 | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 43¢ | 52¢ | +$2 |
