US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $442 | 50¢ | 39¢ | -$96 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $130 | 54¢ | 59¢ | +$12 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $94 | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 |
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Crypto | No | $65 | 23¢ | 34¢ | +$28 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $83 | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$5 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $46 | 53¢ | 87¢ | +$29 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $66 | 43¢ | 47¢ | +$6 |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Politics | No | $26 | 53¢ | 87¢ | +$17 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Politics | No | $27 | 45¢ | 69¢ | +$15 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $33 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$9 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 56¢ | 64¢ | +$2 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $34 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$15 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Politics | Yes | $21 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$8 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $16 | 31¢ | 23¢ | -$4 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $11 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 75¢ | 93¢ | +$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$0 |
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 62¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
Clavicular sentenced to prison?Culture | Yes | $8 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $3 | 51¢ | 68¢ | +$1 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Politics | No | $3 | 89¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAI | $3 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 94¢ | 76¢ | -$0 |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $2 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | No | $2 | 18¢ | 9.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 76¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Politics | No | $1 | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - February 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $25 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 20?Crypto | YesResolved | $25 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $7 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World Cup | YesResolved | $35 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 29?Crypto | YesResolved | $60 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?Crypto | $3kResolved | $130 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 23?Crypto | NoResolved | $4 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $39 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$39 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 29?Crypto | YesResolved | $82 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$82 |
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $140 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$140 |
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?Culture | YesResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 28?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 30?Crypto | YesResolved | $31 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfWorld Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $146 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$146 |
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $100 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 12?Crypto | NoResolved | $4 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 November 10-16?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?Politics | NoResolved | $120 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$120 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?Crypto | YesResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 27?Crypto | NoResolved | $3 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $11 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $38 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$38 |
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 41.0 on December 26, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 27?Crypto | NoResolved | $26 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Politics | NoResolved | $113 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$113 |
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 16?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $29 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 30?Crypto | NoResolved | $26 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $20 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Politics | NoResolved | $100 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $30 | 7.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 28?Crypto | YesResolved | $21 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 15?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $20 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?Crypto | NoResolved | $4 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 10?Weather | NoResolved | $5 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22?Crypto | YesResolved | $130 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$130 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 21?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $950 | 5.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$950 |