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FiscalLiberalSocialConservative

Predicting since Nov 202599 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $575 across 2 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$39495¢99¢+$15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$30882¢88¢+$21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30088¢88¢-$2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$21027¢27¢-$3
Iran leadership change by December 31?PoliticsNo$18173¢80¢+$15
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$16764¢74¢+$26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$26950¢27¢-$127
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsNo$12696¢100¢+$5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$15224¢17¢-$41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?PoliticsYes$11138¢37¢-$3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$10264¢67¢+$4
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?CultureYes$1111¢100¢+$91
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$9055¢59¢+$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$7026¢28¢+$5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$9723¢17¢-$25
Trump out as President before GTA VI?PoliticsNo$6950¢51¢+$1
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$6275¢79¢+$4
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$4631¢43¢+$17
No one announced as next James Bond?CultureNo$6179¢76¢-$2
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?CryptoNo$4394¢95¢+$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?EconomyNo$2640¢62¢+$14
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$3551¢56¢+$3
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$3015¢17¢+$3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsYes$1218¢47¢+$19
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$1978¢93¢+$4
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?PoliticsYes$2250¢50¢-$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$2756¢41¢-$8
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$1685¢100¢+$3
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsYes$3311¢4.9¢-$19
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$1279¢88¢+$1
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1384¢86¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$1071¢94¢+$3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$1263¢56¢-$1
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYes$1060¢65¢+$1
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?PoliticsNo$1088¢93¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$613¢23¢+$4
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1113¢12¢-$1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?EconomyYes$987¢82¢-$0
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$1080¢65¢-$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$520¢30¢+$2
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?CultureYes$512¢14¢+$1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?PoliticsYes$6100¢100¢+$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsNo$264.8¢0.9¢-$22
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$55.6¢4.9¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$104.6¢1.9¢-$6
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$57.0¢5.5¢-$1
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$511¢8.2¢-$1
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsYes$511¢6.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$812¢2.8¢-$6
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?PoliticsYes$14.2¢7.2¢+$1
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBAYesResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. SlovakiaHockey (other)SlovakiaResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$104.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4412¢0.0¢-$44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$509.2¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$539¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$127.7¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$583¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$164.8¢0.0¢-$16
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado RockiesMLBCincinnati RedsResolved$1554¢0.0¢-$15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2716¢0.0¢-$27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$71.8¢0.0¢-$7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$250.7¢0.0¢-$25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4018¢0.0¢-$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

UFC / MMA+$210
Culture+$86
Politics+$59
Hockey (other)-$20
Economy+$12
Tech+$7
Mentions+$6
World Cup+$3
NBA-$2
MLB-$2
Crypto+$1
Biggest hit
+$413
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$21h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$62h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$22h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$511h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$012h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$512h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3512h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$615h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$215h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$116h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$016h ago