 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $300 | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$16 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $300 | 85¢ | 85¢ | -$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Politics | No | $155 | 63¢ | 88¢ | +$60 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HousePolitics | No | $217 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$4 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | No | $186 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$2 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $122 | 55¢ | 76¢ | +$45 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $221 | 27¢ | 19¢ | -$70 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $111 | 47¢ | 60¢ | +$28 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $111 | 38¢ | 40¢ | +$4 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Politics | No | $84 | 34¢ | 47¢ | +$31 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $186 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$76 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $104 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $56 | 21¢ | 19¢ | -$6 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $52 | 58¢ | 52¢ | -$6 |
 Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $43 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Politics | No | $42 | 89¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $26 | 40¢ | 63¢ | +$15 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $28 | 86¢ | 99¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $29 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$0 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | No | $35 | 70¢ | 55¢ | -$8 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | No | $22 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$0 |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $15 | 80¢ | 89¢ | +$2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$2 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$3 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $15 | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 21¢ | 34¢ | +$5 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$1 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | No | $5 | 22¢ | 66¢ | +$10 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 63¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | Yes | $13 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$1 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$0 |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $10 | 73¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 88¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $10 | 80¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 50¢ | +$3 |
 Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $10 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$1 |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 60¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Politics | No | $6 | 31¢ | 42¢ | +$2 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 11¢ | -$1 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Culture | Yes | $8 | 68¢ | 54¢ | -$2 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | Yes | $5 | 51¢ | 64¢ | +$1 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 48¢ | 54¢ | +$1 |
 Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $5 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$0 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | No | $8 | 13¢ | 7.2¢ | -$4 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -$0 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 30¢ | 6.5¢ | -$16 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 36¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 28¢ | 23¢ | -$1 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $10 | 62¢ | 24¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 3.3¢ | 2.4¢ | -$2 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Politics | No | $3 | 82¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | Yes | $5 | 16¢ | 9.5¢ | -$2 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Culture | Yes | $3 | 60¢ | 59¢ | -$0 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 21¢ | 10¢ | -$3 |
 Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.2¢ | 8.8¢ | +$1 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 56¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 66¢ | 26¢ | -$3 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Culture | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 8.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Tech | OpenAI | $5 | 16¢ | 5.3¢ | -$3 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 3.6¢ | -$3 |
 Theo James announced as next James Bond?Culture | Yes | $14 | 5.2¢ | 0.5¢ | -$13 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Politics | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 2.9¢ | -$3 |
 Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?Politics | No | $1 | 91¢ | 93¢ | +$0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $10 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 26 and 27 million views on day 3?Culture | NoResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $68 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$68 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 6.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
 Men's Semifinals - USA vs. SlovakiaHockey (other) | SlovakiaResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $29 | 75¢ | 0.0¢ | -$29 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $28 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Will Russell Fry win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Politics | YesResolved | $90 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$90 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 2.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $211 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$211 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $19 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Cashed out Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$66d ago
Cashed out No · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$119d ago
Cashed out No · Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?$3379d ago
Cashed out No · Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?$513d ago