Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $394 | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$15 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $308 | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$21 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $300 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$2 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $210 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $181 | 73¢ | 80¢ | +$15 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $167 | 64¢ | 74¢ | +$26 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $269 | 50¢ | 27¢ | -$127 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $126 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $152 | 24¢ | 17¢ | -$41 |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $111 | 38¢ | 37¢ | -$3 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $102 | 64¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?Culture | Yes | $11 | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$91 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $90 | 55¢ | 59¢ | +$6 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | Yes | $70 | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$5 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $97 | 23¢ | 17¢ | -$25 |
Trump out as President before GTA VI?Politics | No | $69 | 50¢ | 51¢ | +$1 |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $62 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$4 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Politics | Yes | $46 | 31¢ | 43¢ | +$17 |
No one announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $61 | 79¢ | 76¢ | -$2 |
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?Crypto | No | $43 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $26 | 40¢ | 62¢ | +$14 |
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $35 | 51¢ | 56¢ | +$3 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $30 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$3 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | Yes | $12 | 18¢ | 47¢ | +$19 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $19 | 78¢ | 93¢ | +$4 |
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Politics | Yes | $22 | 50¢ | 50¢ | -$0 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $27 | 56¢ | 41¢ | -$8 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | Yes | $16 | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$3 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | Yes | $33 | 11¢ | 4.9¢ | -$19 |
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $12 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $13 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$3 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $12 | 63¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 60¢ | 65¢ | +$1 |
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $10 | 88¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $6 | 13¢ | 23¢ | +$4 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $11 | 13¢ | 12¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $9 | 87¢ | 82¢ | -$0 |
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $10 | 80¢ | 65¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 20¢ | 30¢ | +$2 |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?Culture | Yes | $5 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Politics | Yes | $6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Politics | No | $26 | 4.8¢ | 0.9¢ | -$22 |
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 5.6¢ | 4.9¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 4.6¢ | 1.9¢ | -$6 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -$1 |
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 8.2¢ | -$1 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 6.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | Yes | $8 | 12¢ | 2.8¢ | -$6 |
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?Politics | Yes | $1 | 4.2¢ | 7.2¢ | +$1 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?NBA | YesResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. SlovakiaHockey (other) | SlovakiaResolved | $20 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $44 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado RockiesMLB | Cincinnati RedsResolved | $15 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |