 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | Yes | $806 | 27¢ | 52¢ | +$761 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Finance | No | $1.4K | 37¢ | 42¢ | +$179 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $2.3K | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$952 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 26¢ | 33¢ | +$240 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $1.1K | 54¢ | 54¢ | -$19 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $370 | 37¢ | 54¢ | +$165 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.7K | 27¢ | 8.0¢ | -$1.2K |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Politics | No | $431 | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$41 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Politics | No | $416 | 52¢ | 57¢ | +$44 |
 Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $563 | 24¢ | 20¢ | -$114 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | Yes | $434 | 17¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $414 | 11¢ | 10¢ | -$21 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $475 | 26¢ | 21¢ | -$104 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $487 | 38¢ | 28¢ | -$118 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $968 | 42¢ | 16¢ | -$607 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Finance | No | $500 | 17¢ | 12¢ | -$140 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $350 | 35¢ | 36¢ | +$5 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $390 | 20¢ | 18¢ | -$40 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Politics | Yes | $898 | 16¢ | 6.1¢ | -$548 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | No | $561 | 56¢ | 35¢ | -$214 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $410 | 41¢ | 35¢ | -$65 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $1.4K | 39¢ | 9.5¢ | -$1.0K |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $253 | 49¢ | 60¢ | +$56 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $649 | 22¢ | 11¢ | -$344 |
 Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $291 | 19¢ | 19¢ | -$3 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $1.2K | 29¢ | 6.5¢ | -$953 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics | Yes | $285 | 19¢ | 18¢ | -$15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $345 | 23¢ | 18¢ | -$83 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $211 | 60¢ | 70¢ | +$35 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $319 | 32¢ | 24¢ | -$78 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $268 | 27¢ | 24¢ | -$29 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $235 | 23¢ | 23¢ | -$10 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $270 | 18¢ | 14¢ | -$68 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | Yes | $244 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$54 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $195 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$8 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Politics | No | $147 | 52¢ | 66¢ | +$38 |
 Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Politics | No | $230 | 22¢ | 17¢ | -$55 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Politics | Yes | $180 | 12¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | Yes | $145 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$23 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Finance | Yes | $264 | 44¢ | 27¢ | -$105 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Politics | Yes | $180 | 18¢ | 15¢ | -$30 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Politics | Yes | $126 | 21¢ | 25¢ | +$21 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Politics | Yes | $163 | 4.1¢ | 3.6¢ | -$20 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $165 | 33¢ | 28¢ | -$23 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Politics | Yes | $125 | 16¢ | 17¢ | +$8 |
 Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Politics | Yes | $163 | 34¢ | 28¢ | -$30 |
 Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $120 | 24¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Politics | Yes | $122 | 25¢ | 23¢ | -$11 |
 Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $77 | 9.2¢ | 12¢ | +$23 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Politics | Yes | $79 | 16¢ | 19¢ | +$16 |
 Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Politics | No | $75 | 41¢ | 43¢ | +$3 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Finance | Yes | $165 | 28¢ | 12¢ | -$93 |
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $60 | 36¢ | 43¢ | +$12 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Politics | No | $163 | 5.4¢ | 2.3¢ | -$94 |
 Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $56 | 4.1¢ | 4.3¢ | +$2 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | Yes | $60 | 28¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $45 | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $38 | 11¢ | 14¢ | +$9 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Politics | Yes | $98 | 11¢ | 5.0¢ | -$54 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $59 | 35¢ | 25¢ | -$18 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $35 | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$5 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Politics | Yes | $23 | 4.0¢ | 6.3¢ | +$14 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in September?Economy | Yes | $112 | 63¢ | 20¢ | -$77 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?Economy | Yes | $139 | 78¢ | 17¢ | -$110 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Tech | Yes | $50 | 11¢ | 6.6¢ | -$21 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $23 | 11¢ | 13¢ | +$3 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $23 | 6.0¢ | 6.5¢ | +$2 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $26 | 35¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $325 | 22¢ | 1.5¢ | -$303 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $17 | 2.0¢ | 2.5¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.9¢ | 0.9¢ | +$2 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 26¢ | 38¢ | +$5 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $136 | 7.8¢ | 0.7¢ | -$125 |
 Will gas hit $4.30 (High) by September 30?Politics | No | $56 | 28¢ | 5.5¢ | -$45 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $131 | 4.4¢ | 0.3¢ | -$123 |
 Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $8 | 36¢ | 24¢ | -$3 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Politics | Yes | $4 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $95 | 1.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$92 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $54 | 1.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$52 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.91% in September?Economy | NoResolved | $111 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$111 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Crypto | NoResolved | $40 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
 Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?Politics | NoResolved | $15 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | YesResolved | $49 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?Politics | NoResolved | $170 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$170 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $281 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$281 |
 Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Politics | YesResolved | $293 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$293 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.94% in September?Economy | NoResolved | $184 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$184 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Finance | NoResolved | $388 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$388 |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?Politics | NoResolved | $378 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$378 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Finance | NoResolved | $680 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$680 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?Economy | NoResolved | $131 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
 Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Politics | YesResolved | $34 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$34 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1.1K | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K |
 Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?Politics | YesResolved | $42 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Crypto | NoResolved | $751 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$751 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Politics | NoResolved | $105 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$105 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $174 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$174 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% or more in May?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.88% in September?Economy | NoResolved | $237 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$237 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% in September?Economy | NoResolved | $81 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$81 |
Sold Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$77h ago