← Whale Watch

0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d

Predicting since Sep 20251,133 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $15K on Politics markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $6.2K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$3.3K on Maduro out by January 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.7K41¢25¢-$1.1K
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?PoliticsYes$2.4K28¢16¢-$1.1K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1.5K27¢24¢-$178
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1.4K39¢26¢-$487
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$1.5K29¢18¢-$589
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$96842¢35¢-$152
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$34328¢52¢+$295
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsYes$54554¢60¢+$55
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$90218¢12¢-$327
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsYes$61030¢28¢-$50
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?PoliticsNo$48547¢54¢+$63
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?PoliticsNo$43548¢61¢+$110
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?FinanceNo$35439¢57¢+$169
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?PoliticsYes$1.1K16¢6.0¢-$700
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$51917¢14¢-$84
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?PoliticsNo$34510¢12¢+$37
Anthropic IPO before 2027?TechNo$26224¢33¢+$92
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?TechNo$39831¢27¢-$53
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsNo$28917¢20¢+$39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$56247¢27¢-$244
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsNo$28056¢64¢+$37
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNo$27923¢26¢+$33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$44055¢38¢-$136
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?PoliticsNo$30530¢27¢-$33
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$24052¢58¢+$25
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$44828¢17¢-$185
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsYes$31620¢16¢-$63
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$21259¢69¢+$34
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$19153¢55¢+$8
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?PoliticsYes$24414¢11¢-$54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?FinanceYes$23423¢17¢-$59
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$1619.0¢9.5¢+$9
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$16533¢33¢-$3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$20414¢11¢-$46
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?PoliticsYes$16811¢10¢-$16
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?PoliticsYes$12413¢15¢+$19
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?TechNo$11755¢65¢+$22
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?EconomyYes$13165¢67¢+$3
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? PoliticsYes$21119¢12¢-$82
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsNo$14028¢23¢-$27
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? PoliticsYes$10914¢14¢-$4
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$8311¢14¢+$20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsNo$10050¢51¢+$2
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?EconomyYes$14014¢9.5¢-$45
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?PoliticsYes$1407.3¢4.7¢-$50
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$12555¢38¢-$39
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceNo$8428¢28¢+$0
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?PoliticsYes$949.4¢7.5¢-$19
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$12213¢7.5¢-$49
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$1231.2¢0.7¢-$58
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?PoliticsYes$615.0¢5.0¢-$0
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?PoliticsNo$769.8¢7.0¢-$22
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$32522¢2.8¢-$283
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$388.3¢8.9¢+$3
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$504.5¢3.7¢-$9
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$458.9¢7.5¢-$7
Government shutdown by October 1?PoliticsNo$3855¢53¢-$1
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?PoliticsYes$454.2¢3.1¢-$12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?PoliticsYes$245.3¢6.7¢+$7
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?PoliticsYes$2829¢29¢+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$180.8¢1.1¢+$10
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?PoliticsYes$6411¢4.0¢-$41
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$541.1¢0.4¢-$32
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$2237¢33¢-$2
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$217.8¢6.6¢-$3
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$951.9¢0.4¢-$77
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$121.5¢2.3¢+$6
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?PoliticsYes$183.7¢3.5¢-$1
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1367.8¢0.9¢-$119
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?PoliticsYes$217.0¢4.5¢-$8
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$1314.4¢0.4¢-$117
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?PoliticsYes$121.6¢1.6¢-$0
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsNo$1325¢19¢-$3
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$40.4¢0.8¢+$4
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?PoliticsNo$836¢34¢-$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?PoliticsYes$1515¢6.0¢-$9
Will gas hit $3.50 (Low) by July 31?PoliticsYes$459.0¢0.5¢-$42
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$65.7¢1.2¢-$4
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?CryptoNoResolved$405.0¢0.0¢-$40
Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?PoliticsNoResolved$1519¢0.0¢-$15
Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$497.0¢0.0¢-$49
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?PoliticsNoResolved$17022¢0.0¢-$170
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?PoliticsYesResolved$2933.9¢0.0¢-$293
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?FinanceNoResolved$38839¢0.0¢-$388
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?PoliticsNoResolved$37842¢0.0¢-$378
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?EconomyNoResolved$13114¢0.0¢-$131
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K22¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?PoliticsYesResolved$423.2¢0.0¢-$42
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?CryptoNoResolved$75130¢0.0¢-$751
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?PoliticsNoResolved$10526¢0.0¢-$105
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?CryptoNoResolved$1746.1¢0.0¢-$174
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% or more in May?EconomyYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$24633¢0.0¢-$246
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$80.4¢0.0¢-$8
Will Garrett Mason win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$978.1¢0.0¢-$97
Will Scott Bottoms win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$100.6¢0.0¢-$10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?FinanceNoResolved$27611¢0.0¢-$276
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1491.5¢0.0¢-$149
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYesResolved$6325¢0.0¢-$63
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?EconomyYesResolved$71.3¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$15K
Tech+$3.5K
Crypto-$1.4K
Economy-$759
Culture+$422
Finance-$331
Premier League-$49
World Cup-$30
Weather-$7
Mentions+$4
Serie A+$2
Biggest hit
+$3.3K
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$1.4K
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$1048m ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$201h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$731h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$161h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$301h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$91h ago
  • Sold No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$61h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$322h ago
  • Bought Yes · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$483h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?$723h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$24h ago
  • Bought No · Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?$164h ago